{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.092Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Tunisia exports to Romania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Tunisia to Romania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TUN",
    "country_name": "Tunisia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ROU",
    "country_name": "Romania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
    "importer_iso3": "ROU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 96,
    "current_lane_count": 38,
    "current_product_count": 38,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 90725859.2539824,
    "attention_trade_usd": 22428378.875593916,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 80918286.5903835,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 25765372.73997294,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9424489.131512383,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 24,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2995670126925332,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.174549191969202,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2877.0023620202555,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 49.370821953155854,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 76.39565211847818,
    "top_product_hs6": "870894",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 44792102.43775442,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicle parts: steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes: parts thereof",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "854449",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252527,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252527,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.87418786627483,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.237316107837202,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.33242142383276274,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.721043217465503,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 2367575.9143717694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 3372608.54547125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.449858735201886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 981270.4630511701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.90470329357305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 796811.635427373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.797959845875656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.441439677369342
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 2926576.673027653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 267.28588576119023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.618388246202598
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 3930711.25795195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.31089279767554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.81595801754571
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 2395530.901922989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.05604495683176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.32737188026754
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 4191597.954652098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.9757413393137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.72145112441969
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 4544316.777720988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.414901116110629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.954037867550709
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 4529725.403803425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3210905980212231,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.65832683884639
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 12397107.525456794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 173.68342273126424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.542415254413115
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 10086168.858245205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.64095041900863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.44252961110192
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 9999586.653532557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.858425096084614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.2077169977218
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 44126333.32457914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 341.2815734637453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.6836350890771
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 60346359.79250983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.758156062098756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.5410937676247
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 71265844.27834566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.09468627996871,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.44197061114012
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 105417420.73033419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.92138056851112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.68156307766456
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 102428101.56267545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.835697503267176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.285965080262525
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 106643878.41859853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.115840078656019,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.380370466561487
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 83382986.26441413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.81174625221407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.518467112839722
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 87280875.06598124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.6746812223858125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.194545893613379
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 119617999.8627886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.04949655048904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9011134638369693
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 123502313.42344494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2472650981557605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.989771387836791
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 74657840.7476602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.54943945731173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0739423998218625
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 80861926.55598462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.3100257738419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.236113049943075
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 71875817.0444672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.112905534467943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.50972326057012
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 169205493.04012036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.41366206027055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.354919984286056
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 184770444.48332217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.198845240509534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.7132521421549
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 99971442.15750644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.89424599964628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.625749397848173
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "export_value_usd": 95624197.71613486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.34848627523291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.32304961437562
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "870894",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes: parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 370056132.64945585,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.494716992669623,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4712826862280204,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 608134133.1719823,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.50339474284478,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0752287447146949,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1104739953.2132628,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.313529942912677,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4027238007436522,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "271112",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104126976.79106873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1630681717565448,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80605669.63828316,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.2849391604336,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8979813747761799,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "853400",
      "hs_description": "Circuits: printed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 513439122.55795354,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.65531269438739,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2136353933702781,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "854442",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 348583737.45901436,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.17019435463644,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2934060980237032,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "761699",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: n.e.c. in heading no. 7616",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 294573633.0241573,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5972565534448085,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "310559",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing elements nitrogen and phosphorus, other than nitrates and phosphates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88395440.30580007,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.29006566589393,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.24447813900671664,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "ROU",
      "hs_code": "721049",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 330133262.27993566,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.23698665528057,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7213934939104011,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
    "importer_iso3": "ROU",
    "distance_km": 1587,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631,
    "importer_population": 19115.147,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 20,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252527,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.576118725252527,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-ROU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-ROU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-ROU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-ROU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-ROU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}