{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.082Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Tunisia exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Tunisia to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TUN",
    "country_name": "Tunisia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 219,
    "current_lane_count": 173,
    "current_product_count": 173,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 277271758.03858256,
    "attention_trade_usd": 29812797.608230434,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 125679122.12733634,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31060451.025535565,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 29854486.01298233,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 10,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 111,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 51,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 25,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0986484372298926,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.00802898941372,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 497.9172432112028,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.194848283045003,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 31.430047957767865,
    "top_product_hs6": "854430",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 39358305.38530843,
    "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "902830",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1912.468017578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.019199999049305916,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.294336478585858,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.096695189898995,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.17896153151515,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.9177336583838445,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.752194099797919,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 21538137.401926123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 21221596.650563657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.469675605905263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 20744703.856921736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.247205059517776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 19688194.219600458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.092912603660816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9491714924810175
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 22893235.02161742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.27899829851436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5596122686721623
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 17379104.9899835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.086285867537228,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.7300255969680585
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 27000311.2287956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.36076940876593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.101765876160208
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 30830423.765002523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.185438470509704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.430941743428113
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 33705042.300847836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.323966993630716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.70651895767051
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 42336127.90770341,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.607698485631204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.175385287293143
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 63652265.49091024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.34975713810659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.33411976526927
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 65238124.47067423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4914415339866602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.624146445097296
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 87214299.9008036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.68609322913332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.240545237299596
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 157349430.9273504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.41700857120631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.212581248335525
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 86412446.05435258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.08245403553448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.822572022330522
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 130219495.96136601,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.69530132205635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.295580315338285
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 122845387.75698957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.6628296323341765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.920159224894874
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 209318850.231592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.3921116238101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.300412704575535
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 114979483.62607561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.069694631486165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.0640350937491965
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 184918403.8164638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.82730412830546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.60593100473957
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 194641616.09854034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.258109566923941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.394163653055459
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 172930616.17895603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.154346308239028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.573411584611451
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 170622120.05373612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3349262127366646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6464634643643903
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 198643442.4902164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.423030277466477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6806885547375963
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 221503366.72624737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.50801856303758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.601580974114098
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 211025413.76146156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.730380905557685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.341207271137695
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 217425384.74574542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0327963206925546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0572789409422985
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 257000164.03622395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.201545020493715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.079425481707767
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 299195298.58510697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.41832981201352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.341443906044924
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 295294839.3181102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3036499187794703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.742724358657686
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 810886109.8037112,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.261825078331977,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6347182688053568,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 798371829.221115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.910158436857078,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8486436385826237,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "870895",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: safety airbags with inflater system: parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 576800112.1886687,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.537560018485517,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8201777105586798,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1474565841.9316962,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.893277982906026,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9410250107290266,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "620342",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 906617824.3536645,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8321905088897619,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "902830",
      "hs_description": "Meters: electricity supply or production meters, including calibrating meters thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 120464734.15498596,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1786653710258528,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 775390523.4711822,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0971448369234853,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852871",
      "hs_description": "Reception apparatus for television, whether or not incorporating radio-broadcast receivers or sound or video recording or reproducing apparatus: not designed to incorporate a video display or screen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226341699.84458074,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.767225865148724,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9711183104152955,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "640291",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, covering the ankle, with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255265159.24203148,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9914157974720674,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "850300",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 671817320.370298,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.006332403637003444,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4145439453793007,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TUN",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 1912,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.294336478585858,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.096695189898995,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.17896153151515,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.9177336583838445
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}