{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.606Z", "seo": { "title": "Tunisia exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Tunisia to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUN", "country_name": "Tunisia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 10309265.631495524, "attention_trade_usd": 2345759.2427149275, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7669601.465800241, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 622758.3202921817, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2639664.165695284, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8488795866678476, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.806617450244987, "product_concentration_hhi": 2268.0387707069526, "top1_product_share_pct": 31.360086654423284, "top3_product_share_pct": 79.39628941078925, "top_product_hs6": "854449", "top_product_trade_usd": 3232994.635471674, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "top_attention_product_hs6": "852352", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1123.9453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 22.753892726834682, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1570270.3446125612, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 11334.635987351108, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.27817295752676, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3970103.563010155, "yoy_growth_pct": 34926.29963097707, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 553.118512679275, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98606790719938, "cagr_3y_pct": -92.93767138306886 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3411.090695190081, "yoy_growth_pct": 516.7015959503777, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.98656241673862 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 775056.965976144, "yoy_growth_pct": 22621.67571120399, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.988967394900214 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 48750.90392395995, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.71002312551818, "cagr_3y_pct": 345.02884324564985 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 91981.40939822835, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.67631570831571, "cagr_3y_pct": 199.87178008353644 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 192982.52596619335, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.80601105021815, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.088778027400025 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 382041.8888757202, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.96708896983048, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.62905221837433 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 547281.0222063237, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.25157479900233, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.20497186469007 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 385580.6442783589, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.546132858048225, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.950263189621214 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 500071.15330218826, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.693012531297146, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.388988480221272 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 922099.1634550672, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.39359226502941, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.993273783016072 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1021993.528787032, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.833364706423199, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.3919961969861 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2536994.878615705, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.2398182723108, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.82878895251731 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6541021.376654601, "yoy_growth_pct": 157.82556487554552, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.14215036283828 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6743944.768745327, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.102319659357411, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.5665050954692 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3071597.3107735813, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.453996642902005, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.581434874214653 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3964614.1797268824, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.073370582174228, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.371147188698453 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 5156107.477860706, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.053196707678232, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.560048811026611 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6074472.953498494, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.811216689742526, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.52053298275705 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 8183031.784212252, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.71179881539135, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.322288495041747 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 8168761.7934904015, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.17438513130771938, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.576610375900124 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 8655960.53005462, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.964168730595887, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.530147530619097 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 11792966.583230836, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.240993039237225, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.95434545840588 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 12108733.958454465, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.677590689289655, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.019947094734997 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 192116636.86169383, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0387435309252546, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76955369.3275229, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.6119964236701545, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "852352", "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: smart cards, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14291861.800380625, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.814902690699768, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9601000176845789, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45770701.36864971, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.9920641974392903, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16322955.49626424, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.65503443893817, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0685595606319003, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "853400", "hs_description": "Circuits: printed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41019303.331482045, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.168115468254403, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8757265018766964, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "590320", "hs_description": "Textile fabrics: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated with polyurethane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34644770.7890794, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.025439014010566, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2398905895508452, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "853650", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: switches n.e.c. in heading no. 8536, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15893562.8451177, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.063033318593213, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3240075655278025, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14281505.436219204, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1233941843934974, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 1127, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }