{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.980Z", "seo": { "title": "Tunisia exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Tunisia to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TUN", "country_name": "Tunisia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "all_history_lane_count": 889, "current_lane_count": 784, "current_product_count": 784, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4835722776.671107, "attention_trade_usd": 654097292.2368252, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1229387266.2133617, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1050626235.7328943, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 10758636.873353586, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 529556485.8412849, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 81, "high_volatility_lane_count": 374, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 384, "declining_demand_lane_count": 16, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 164, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8959568059720066, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.57142604566944, "product_concentration_hhi": 146.092006029961, "top1_product_share_pct": 5.029789194874655, "top3_product_share_pct": 13.377467022277587, "top_product_hs6": "854430", "top_product_trade_usd": 243226661.715096, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "top_attention_product_hs6": "902830", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1483.8275146484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6408547163009644, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.558984124956566, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2366999057027794, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.683713221165908, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519, "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 13.526360431420414, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519, "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1482149511.5178242, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1461975341.7728734, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3611426909483026, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1451646229.9258964, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7065175144781444, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1622681269.4209218, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.782143332797856, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0656000258950655 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1607241483.5346742, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9514983735381066, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.208079120925267 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1650021151.985805, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6616826960593976, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.362123433107534 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1910065342.9331017, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.76005196262682, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.585674956515008 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2174680179.360085, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.853705969065967, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.604149613285774 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2694193528.83168, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.88918400058555, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.755109065492668 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3155861257.3543816, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.135655756804557, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.219710748002505 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3398341658.5928674, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.683493711056277, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.04431814575118 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3817288286.467481, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.32797258084064, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.316110898525912 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5049274724.644743, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.27386421258065, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.959912029796364 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5426328432.521984, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.467482528468872, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.88165317329935 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4267199139.5917344, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.36120781011266, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7837399897049595 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4730731116.353921, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.862675061528426, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.148740239679947 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5632771472.817642, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.067673352759563, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.252405996341266 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4678384497.300847, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.94347054771226, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1140077578629466 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4713947196.91943, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7601491420617501, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.11840176619469789 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5062254657.27465, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.388870638662204, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4970434619002067 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4303638158.830375, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.98574350371953, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7446996839555537 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4529692928.77969, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.252643498512688, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3202555506751645 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4573409857.211621, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9651190294638567, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3284434021949694 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4943222110.756263, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.086138463219083, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.726870292171981 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4720803787.8876095, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.499460430569757, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3870288149206988 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3771144413.225271, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.11647628945995, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.227028105490495 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4362821115.094351, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.689579529070553, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.0778081725226905 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4528471596.158033, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.796866217837125, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3769189642630963 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4734556441.319558, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.550869775497057, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8786189838793375 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4953411501.845053, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.622503992464777, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.322743723493794 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1709858884.3917263, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.9127696791608635, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5759527423525775, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3323345304.9030747, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9239626938457101, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14411285918.811989, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.930329593998295, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1170456992147657, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4780781810.074172, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.78983136436735, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8559315285573147, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1427105322.544197, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.180447308512066, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8410355284144597, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1172365231.8645778, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.07433662590528, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6765463971602999, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "870894", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 840583142.6167829, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.155055412817816, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7542592912728383, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "853690", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1010344758.5807959, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.421624145356084, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6105114161774492, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2526254661.452167, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.794953882908896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8886022434860612, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "630790", "hs_description": "Textiles: made up articles (including dress patterns), n.e.c. in chapter 63, n.e.c. in heading no. 6307", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 643089684.3561162, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.913469737427945, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7579670586850439, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TUN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "distance_km": 1480, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "importer_population": 67499.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.558984124956566, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2366999057027794, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.683713221165908 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-FRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-FRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-FRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-FRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TUN-FRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }