{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.351Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Turkmenistan exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Turkmenistan to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TKM",
    "country_name": "Turkmenistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 16,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 107536439.64272794,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1059302.8880729687,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1106992.0857978233,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7799144.614114843,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 264776.543411289,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6879513611851825,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.752437821348835,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8588.587785288804,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 92.45687286821055,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.70943268888736,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 99424829.28747696,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "520942",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 5769.07080078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0.9850641248606776,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 278389.1701246465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 147541.03386735736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.00187733549511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 999.0905097433943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.32283888518661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 168296.15502033243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16744.935807022877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.444741965409637
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 536618.2549502366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 218.8535441498387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.78626171203527
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 118015.66424036722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.00751965635023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 390.65731033970224
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 320180.71293693676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 171.3035722824149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.91018092746331
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 114573.58347178696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.21596340990298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.2314089740136
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 13362.619130780256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.3370854555922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.621695357388965
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 4498.9491693702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.33183116768589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -75.86918595010535
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 433378.4187240532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9532.880977508821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.80961747983893
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 243657.4721271817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.77720218635835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 163.20615932709535
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 367696.4034154997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.90709109202835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 333.9697239187352
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 55307.93898402609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.95825945799973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.65302312104464
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 17699712.94221823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31902.11988975076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 317.2491842121692
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 173360.59255385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.02054573924562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.168810661119064
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 204779.679421029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.12354607487827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.70337721884411
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 485559.7214945585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.11323451007215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -69.84040697104574
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 227840.97842537207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.07663128974642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.536909817533612
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 3668476.839076149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1510.1040578517952,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 161.6573714401452
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 98147.90518224542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.32455976996266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.31243008208945
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 575485.0057388331,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 486.3446648914684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.186499969096374
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 130539.66358148833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.31658300742419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.10835689778472
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 650808.3111296952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 398.5521589945215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.86996390106086
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 29911936.575768273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4496.120864505574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 273.19587912796493
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 43712386.54700159,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.13693244593562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 594.4175309936995
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 195032041.73140237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 346.1711133563821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 569.1923366657142
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1246480.3777018024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.36088431078497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.33054843457522
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 107600345.63014156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8532.333693734485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.021537619737146
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8260250625.329595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.174790746003424,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6718215951751888,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "250300",
      "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 897881491.0730834,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.57045538696235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.758830184201926,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "520942",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62872166.26788446,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.38184480958073,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.835685288341849,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "520932",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, dyed, 3-thread or 4-thread twill, including cross twill, weighing more than 200g/m2",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19744197.749310486,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.783047088580517,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2888666531789655,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "620342",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17597184.70941764,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.337799989705122,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.020470875538811,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "distance_km": 5862,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "importer_population": 37344.788,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-MAR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-MAR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-MAR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-MAR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-MAR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}