{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.436Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Turkmenistan exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Turkmenistan to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TKM",
    "country_name": "Turkmenistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 301028.2329322923,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 301028.2329322923,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 301028.2329322923,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.3732870585998401,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.364024806355026,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "270750",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 301028.2329322923,
    "top_product_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3371.444580078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09959999471902847,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6645134846973184,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0003093505363987,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9197609976475097,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2513825.869592967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2939480.3310576873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.932535646697012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 684651.2366815069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.70842599463305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 281157.91016305285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.934141194892085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.8194553492304
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2219206.2062706817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 689.3095396048755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.943902509374746
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 685794.763770238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.09729425627832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.05564346562498823
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1091901.0087296232,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.2168774702752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.18495927118785
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4797632.38458674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 339.38345566404104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.303347898098565
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 335604.6370109271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.00478631732774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.196665266802416
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 1318210.898428731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 292.78685484486044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.479795952513356
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 159494.2533718163,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.90070287220892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.84567792993089
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 775001.444821391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 385.91182969752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.1776987618428
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 720067.9173624644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.088183877074805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.25468823842672
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 14050721.578686872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1851.3050421900812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 344.9568148846483
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 19705.586316103036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.85975391935746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.59447418016275
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 28598.335539803345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.128062068538014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.88156526361433
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 88141.68286227598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 208.20563923938798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -81.55716970680739
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 14212.470710019123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.8754261905499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.320452733527086
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 29743.39896334183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.27676524514584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3172234690623785
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 34471.14495511334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.89511002961823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.870693176731365
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 20513.621536319533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.49045494998388,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.011919653344716
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 8758.269125244968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.30510524561263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.47127049134255
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 15670.45790655355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.92185867393349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.109032393027896
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 26531.56055089879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.3094146266333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.953240644746007
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4846.904925485249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.73154980391438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.898944921977
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 59209.59784852452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1121.5960238295108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.75313900305161
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 33814.25327892668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.89058783099079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.420732060437143
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2013027.4257938913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5853.1920139973245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 646.0966047236243
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 18855.16285212717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.06334297235463,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.711738135278743
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 927166.5430922039,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4817.308592683962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 201.5453599446353
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "270750",
      "hs_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69899228.09537052,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.364024806355026,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3732870585998401,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TKM",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 3374,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6645134846973184,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0003093505363987,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9197609976475097
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}