{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.403Z", "seo": { "title": "Turkmenistan exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Turkmenistan to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TKM", "country_name": "Turkmenistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EGY", "country_name": "Egypt" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2010, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 985601.1662808717, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 421616.110882696, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 945703.797717491, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.514509283994724, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.25912019525155, "product_concentration_hhi": 3345.952838356533, "top1_product_share_pct": 42.77755803330147, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.95197632385806, "top_product_hs6": "520512", "top_product_trade_usd": 421616.110882696, "top_product_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 714.29 but not less than 232.56 decitex (exceeding 14 but not exceeding 43 metric number), not for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 2642.075439453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876, "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876, "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 21733.003408453624, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 393772.39294229704, "yoy_growth_pct": 1711.8636690091757, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 117945.9325766809, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.04718088655734, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 21965.385073702462, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.37673373397428, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.35515615544701173 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 44982.61242499116, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.78863572870173, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.478620867394234 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 75546.94006514872, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.94698216143806, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.799198629927844 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 88011.37380138687, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.498925999503488, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.83028905909677 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 70751.30642683805, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.611178225099845, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.295594507395393 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 37477.03780060097, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.02989995053317, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.83811517559053 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 571375.765121937, "yoy_growth_pct": 1424.6022595541813, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.54960705356116 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 2349033.84186719, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.11891425179425, "cagr_3y_pct": 221.4042411992916 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 18319991.020874593, "yoy_growth_pct": 679.8947249866983, "cagr_3y_pct": 687.7468343126817 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 19323811.904657926, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.479374321960839, "cagr_3y_pct": 223.38782234935613 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 24036061.114912134, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.385712474868072, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.09909280775683 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 11546958.905030346, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.95985378042438, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.260531318593229 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 2649016.4345148075, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.05875238405167, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.43789759486263 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 6355199.65265748, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.90789826192588, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.816711277266364 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 4940236.981237194, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.264645467567767, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.648242298252775 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 1945918.19983993, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.610832896671894, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.770896476189872 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 1549153.9548399125, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.38956442427309, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.53235592842352 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 289824.0321969002, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.29146355716142, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.14363196489783 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 139440.8602876187, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.88775091194453, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.46427221684024 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 197732.47743503517, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.803827821472716, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.65057955529354 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 4004561.107830039, "yoy_growth_pct": 1925.2419631700282, "cagr_3y_pct": 139.96073138027003 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 16788977.316666286, "yoy_growth_pct": 319.24637593465934, "cagr_3y_pct": 393.7927731912536 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 6778541.364908178, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.625049000577455, "cagr_3y_pct": 224.85240095535687 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 1022498.4895180787, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.9156561201876, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.55911248471012 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "520512", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 714.29 but not less than 232.56 decitex (exceeding 14 but not exceeding 43 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26542892.21458473, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.032709019202564, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8090510893959797, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "520942", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123006317.34081514, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.57205249985335, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5081930324224976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "600622", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51003039.003878795, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "130219", "hs_description": "Vegetable saps and extracts: n.e.c. in item no. 1302.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10532180.878012026, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "distance_km": 2645, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883, "importer_population": 104258.324, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.95191319003831, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EGY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EGY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EGY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EGY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-EGY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }