{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.708Z", "seo": { "title": "Turkmenistan exports to Azerbaijan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Turkmenistan to Azerbaijan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TKM", "country_name": "Turkmenistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "all_history_lane_count": 36, "current_lane_count": 20, "current_product_count": 20, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 286943264.74640274, "attention_trade_usd": 147971884.9823447, "critical_trade_usd": 146472594.52153227, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 227099178.9747337, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 148008639.75213593, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 148931294.51992792, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1088075277634697, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.10010204391042, "product_concentration_hhi": 3629.989936714571, "top1_product_share_pct": 47.57753496886647, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.62337312470648, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 136520532.12552688, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 780.9175415039062, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7077196836471558, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.166162331961687, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.781613727203066, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5384, "buyer_population_latest": 10145.212, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.0569535704234, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.672559409025471, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.35371777704353846, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.036, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.227999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 51.5683423038769, "critical_trade_share_pct": 51.04583815584001, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5384, "buyer_population_2024": 10145.212 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 14337598.322215263, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 10050275.754038846, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.902655046023042, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 25586651.639910772, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.58656325552474, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 31848478.087937474, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.473020292578383, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.478040206699887 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 26298494.409194104, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.42621315661991, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.80055582341391 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 38414308.43520459, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.07037132047653, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.50554573144547 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 98270441.33441015, "yoy_growth_pct": 155.81728615567297, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.583249049884664 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 108192361.98710948, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.096546344933422, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.234208253883125 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 174190507.46197608, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.000743733397655, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.51746329934743 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 135402878.5349969, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.267360886726916, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.276040411194188 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 215124678.30092022, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.87747781175718, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.747070807145978 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 261012014.9714508, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.330577706358067, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.431433468241206 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 38005806.47752794, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.43905862659811, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.52522442316739 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 48564911.28938408, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.782872646314004, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.11025967107346 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 24716683.39868258, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.10588171076211, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.41976446104167 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 13114669.743741803, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.94000998353677, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.85945512303544 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 12192937.449906604, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.028253946501706, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.91464053698653 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 30985136.050034538, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.1236365505334, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8253982607835 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 45590717.817369975, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.1373814326665, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.48618336774222 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 12510969.80389755, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.55807672514668, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.861992516442589 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 18691651.89947323, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.40210225469659, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.50491918397544 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 36521553.268936016, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.38965023185173, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1266873216464415 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 104707244.0899032, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.69986547084682, "cagr_3y_pct": 103.03079618858474 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 104030291.6196406, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6465192319276003, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.21645461442708 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 194302683.28744167, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.77510200380705, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.5727765832257 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 87350322.28294943, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.04420175519258, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.86251439313833 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 68653870.32129882, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.403987384371803, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.93671094172999 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 490531406.32806695, "yoy_growth_pct": 614.499275907373, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.16411678471758 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 661928478.4794314, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.94110059830384, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.41840718385313 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 291706108.81379163, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.93087194497313, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.967109931564934 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 394355254.3651551, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1652979364845482, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1082235846.8423572, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.37541098537051, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.149192280122515, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "271121", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81479868.23562002, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.130108350767, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9290859967066821, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17447754.60070937, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.06341483931487, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6790825084324077, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "761699", "hs_description": "Aluminium: n.e.c. in heading no. 7616", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16267012.954551514, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3323630478130761, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "691090", "hs_description": "Ceramic sinks, wash basins, wash basin pedestals, baths, bidets, water closet pans, flushing cisterns, urinals and similar sanitary fixtures: of other than porcelain or china", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10030972.048434127, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.69496834061495, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.11750160642419127, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "392490", "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11782307.67144752, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6075827993540945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69978538.17795005, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.738294814107678, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57185406.62257379, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6835743312573226, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35889104.1149198, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.92572749508192, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "distance_km": 781, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "importer_population": 10145.212, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.166162331961687, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203066, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.781613727203066 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-AZE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-AZE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-AZE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-AZE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-AZE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }