{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:16.331Z", "seo": { "title": "Turkmenistan exports to Armenia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Turkmenistan to Armenia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TKM", "country_name": "Turkmenistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARM", "country_name": "Armenia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "all_history_lane_count": 13, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 125475.23434050057, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 125475.23434050057, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "680911", "top_product_trade_usd": 125475.23434050057, "top_product_description": "Plaster, or plaster compositions: boards, sheets, panels, tiles and similar articles, faced or reinforced with paper or paperboard only, not ornamented", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 1223.82958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04641120135784149, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8501542911701152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.516500222720307, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13861.183874, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4670, "buyer_population_latest": 2968.128, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.766456496846002, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 13.22885175771702, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.47479483434074155, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.128000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.422, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13861.183874, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4670, "buyer_population_2024": 2968.128 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 10453512.650118323, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 527494.2630274231, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.95390419772963, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1139183.3475004518, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.96127718288164, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1154214.2880199982, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3194487570878488, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.02576417234746 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1273508.391663054, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.335524770508542, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.15123962695421 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 12932969.986698402, "yoy_growth_pct": 915.5386545831429, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.75095577452953 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1239035.9510801665, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.4195559693209, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3919515468917574 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1424008.715281374, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.928764903064518, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7935291075507083 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2015505.7531834892, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.537459114864994, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.186002095900534 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 122051211.67732236, "yoy_growth_pct": 5955.612170024452, "cagr_3y_pct": 361.83417034989407 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 8751424.098853871, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.82971141491754, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.17042836651596 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 33650158.87910089, "yoy_growth_pct": 284.5106636245394, "cagr_3y_pct": 155.58440972847984 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 13249460.378496682, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.625860858191885, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.29630365962025 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 23784982.900308494, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.51661592883075, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.55370499434483 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 23455097.147457913, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3869497162695144, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.335444944377981 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 12995231.651663683, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.5952767964889, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6437301658084205 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2415050.792304124, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.41586962788044, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.34754794903055 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1098506.2977496486, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.51415343933209, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.95416378681467 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 464781.704310536, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.6896641136544, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.05256072779862 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 4357614.840551163, "yoy_growth_pct": 837.5616122874959, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.74211921260536 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 9536588.201840326, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.84880951603591, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.52444916904342 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 25576081.16730428, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.1890066551131, "cagr_3y_pct": 280.360134646716 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2493932.9151832983, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.24896387030759, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.974409085821197 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2946153.0193621125, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.13280948439533, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.39884907209031 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 5662365.492676901, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.19522731724538, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.50474676472259 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 5241791.978321545, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.42752326566134, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.094850624828926 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 2865072.178339013, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.3417420952972, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9259106393540995 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "export_value_usd": 1618713.8249332919, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.501813421268864, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.12447959445256 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "hs_code": "680911", "hs_description": "Plaster, or plaster compositions: boards, sheets, panels, tiles and similar articles, faced or reinforced with paper or paperboard only, not ornamented", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10053207.105148438, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TKM", "importer_iso3": "ARM", "distance_km": 1224, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086, "importer_population": 2968.128, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 45231.428571000004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7393.253337524292, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8501542911701152, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.516500222720307 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-ARM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-ARM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-ARM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-ARM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TKM-ARM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }