{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:16.342Z", "seo": { "title": "Tajikistan exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Tajikistan to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TJK", "country_name": "Tajikistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 81616.18707686527, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 81616.18707686527, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 81616.18707686527, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.626175183092696, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 89.34576133593589, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "710610", "top_product_trade_usd": 81616.18707686527, "top_product_description": "Metals: silver powder", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5396.9482421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004999999888241291, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334, "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334, "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 202874.56827458728, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 93903.51724747535, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.71350975821743, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2286593.710453717, "yoy_growth_pct": 2335.0458614106847, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3680991.544495555, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.981442731474786, "cagr_3y_pct": 162.77199022297629 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3305912.4952339125, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.189619963200535, "cagr_3y_pct": 227.7453194034343 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7210574.000133351, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.11145971131221, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.642642459774585 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3957969.8950515394, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.10880971503322, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4477808761939945 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5370243.941368115, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.68177838043374, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.55313614322911 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4518781.671215501, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.855187947676308, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.424290846641718 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1490220.6721186305, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.02162705467073, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.790772483786785 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1798504.5390321892, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.687128603260806, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.555289015349473 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1124051.4006584778, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.500774879147535, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.109033224379196 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 22069608.284702756, "yoy_growth_pct": 1863.3984951021112, "cagr_3y_pct": 145.57341355303492 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 113778.79807679143, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.48445483667395, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.15413420935003 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 43961.3784985703, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.36241616043443, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.05610226410043 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 60069.78057094586, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.64216779030127, "cagr_3y_pct": -86.03780153825362 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1174981.6420449899, "yoy_growth_pct": 1856.0278577300096, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.76591939425506 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 328254.3205806871, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.06302559677624, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.4548191885834 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1164629.0229685926, "yoy_growth_pct": 254.7947277307258, "cagr_3y_pct": 168.6440262344569 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 807581.149463035, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.657648612899656, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.749258326293122 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1028104.915334322, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.30670051151074, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.310556259672374 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1054024.156525459, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.521069669500453, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2715299645129314 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 820665.5351262108, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.13977924078172, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.537174118410455 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2047538.3237476381, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.49729653661473, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.814742926717926 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 1549760.4150155443, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.311042335999066, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.711572783894809 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 837427.804877135, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.96404729638578, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.676256946447662 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 759378.3402599228, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.320142484242378, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.152986198406882 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 400189.420733131, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.30039039615579, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.320397081809034 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 870309.908111871, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.47449158388497, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.292086475820442 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 747312.0344414194, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.132652348781626, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5324875823479847 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "710610", "hs_description": "Metals: silver powder", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40289907.7965544, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.34576133593589, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.626175183092696, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TJK", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 5405, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8746.270636000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 897.0879019449467, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }