# Tajikistan exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Tajikistan to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TJK-CHN/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Tajikistan reported $185.5M in goods exports to China. The overall review level is Watch.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $185.5M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 16.9% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 1 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 3 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.5 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 38% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 261690 | Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver) | $7.3B | 39.2% | Watch |
| 2 | 740311 | Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes | $30.3B | 0% | Watch |
| 3 | 260700 | Lead ores and concentrates | $2.7B | 59.1% | High attention |
| 4 | 520100 | Cotton: not carded or combed | $4.7B | 70.6% | Critical attention |
| 5 | 261710 | Antimony ores and concentrates | $232.9M | 71.5% | Watch |
| 6 | 710691 | Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder) | $383.2M | 0% | High attention |
| 7 | 410411 | Tanned or crust hides and skins: without hair on, bovine or equine, in the wet state (including wet blue), full grains, unsplit: grain splits | $372.1M | 73.4% | High attention |
| 8 | 520524 | Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale | $276.7M | 72.1% | Watch |
| 9 | 500300 | Silk waste (including cocoons unsuitable for reeling, yarn waste and garneted stock) | $49.7M | 67.5% | Watch |
| 10 | 520523 | Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale | $174.6M | 65% | Watch |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.