{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.099Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Thailand exports to Seychelles: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Thailand to Seychelles, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SYC",
    "country_name": "Seychelles"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "SYC",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 20279337.64609463,
    "attention_trade_usd": 19578444.78068258,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5534639.974904637,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 411539.1022474892,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20279337.64609463,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 20279337.64609463,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8713108202025542,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.8192226921000225,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2533.4553241119356,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 34.0352373821433,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 82.44586828074233,
    "top_product_hs6": "030349",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6902120.707374659,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: tuna, frozen, n.e.c. in item no. 0303.4 (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030349",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5377.1103515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03799999877810478,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1320.053793,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 13307,
    "buyer_population_latest": 99.202,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.008704962383102,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3776566756053543,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 4.447634775377973,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.54380790120614,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1320.053793,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 13307,
    "buyer_population_2024": 99.202
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 2800763.5676093153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 4885144.390833647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.4218772098469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 5072288.302533575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.830877794545451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 3657666.562285604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.88922190289099,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.305635744286288
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 4191070.967706274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.583188389030077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.979815351016493
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 3038926.5434039254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.49045370932729,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.697829309529176
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 3722392.7736816127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.4903833809728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5864223443154959
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 3353371.3705997313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.91355360699625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1634742972141225
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 7781925.896329368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.06275226646355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.811402852476704
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 6512846.82533083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.30803335710439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.498846415744644
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 8031689.330931428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.320715907109424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.7955748212605
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 15643860.184248583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.77670935305436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.207630075866774
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 16022362.760587754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4194960315502945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.995274209709
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 13029897.55303277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.676803491904014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.50184878469323
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 15944961.559078924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.37211761782163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6375024551256603
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 14270978.796870293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.498506101794147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7850850741300124
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 13010850.326221956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.830007307730636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.04875074270899171
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 18175456.757033356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.69461104631029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.460945488812285
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 29978227.26461681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.9379581782237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.070978868745343
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 22679254.16691359,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.347580773457445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.348596274576636
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 9257971.310039515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.17867826735757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.137390064369587
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 14759675.787517244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.42667451897998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.03700300111203
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 17681138.695529662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.793543910247656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.963416762289821
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 18971745.90025678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.299344385853512,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.017576722430057
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 14263654.505261743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.816331716372563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1330057426843454
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 17282697.632035494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.165986077831956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7568743982682591
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 12652020.060240876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.793719767515444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.632309114951978
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 25031907.4646952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.8490971837633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.620477847363116
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 28574613.518986948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.152761068202068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.246858381101006
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "export_value_usd": 44484722.807950914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.67917577745081,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.060707086942614
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "030349",
      "hs_description": "Fish: tuna, frozen, n.e.c. in item no. 0303.4 (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80532416.11330876,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.744407956377567,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "731021",
      "hs_description": "Cans: which are to be closed by soldering or crimping, for any material (excluding compressed or liquefied gas), less than 50l capacity, of iron or steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14905929.571715293,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1499951014259493,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "030342",
      "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14334479.405059025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.214551686318806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6910714889459926,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "030343",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15731705.706469309,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8979050161514777,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29674570.493430782,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.77893280669416,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5574902311782761,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14943009.267947422,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.571510404918804,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.181489183739805,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "SYC",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10520064.483997624,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.1917198781295,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8977297214711346,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "SYC",
    "distance_km": 5376,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316,
    "importer_population": 99.202,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-SYC/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-SYC/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-SYC/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-SYC/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-SYC/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}