{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.600Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Thailand exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Thailand to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 75,
    "current_lane_count": 54,
    "current_product_count": 54,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 47673838.191471785,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3082475.8430104,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 24993937.65279861,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 15692085.76610516,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15764971.521265293,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 28,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 35,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 41,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6495297784466656,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.657088890384742,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1528.1540721720055,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 35.73852875203174,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 50.86612832142839,
    "top_product_hs6": "854370",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17037928.369256232,
    "top_product_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "390120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 6732.0478515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944,
    "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 6.465759754082091,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944,
    "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 14264628.395533683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 8989231.370389445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.98236560299032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 6145977.279683963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.6295573398096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 5386876.241378466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.35118523484896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.718773725286205
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 5070042.630417277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.8815832546417095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.3778768741245
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 7623136.778287885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.356463130182426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.443691346191628
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 8350167.726169544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.537162575285008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.731806873698462
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 15602023.934798311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.84683285943284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.453142842734074
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 13106129.573467886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.997247355605282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.797268286744305
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 15022882.500305975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.624858667034491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.624020904357444
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 26723582.018345978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.88584858998726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.647761246096664
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 31736687.98162777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.75910931341558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.28547764952079
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 62042404.17894517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.49111178476231,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.43967838043605
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 39295556.66153936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.66338823975687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.714607934654532
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 46888722.521951765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.32321744622143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.894372489600926
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 82783524.66391769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.553167182495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.090986894671694
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 89793442.54159525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.467769288800199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.71454184368947
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 104472787.57434788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.347903162252276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.61055074516481
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 101315769.0871673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.021857232376335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.96566053777512
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 115536475.76289806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.03602499774339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.765584480957788
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 83160592.62270907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.022218028036626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.323107291279829
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 73202210.84968741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.974880720489567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.267648113806604
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 95326981.14189748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.22418317069797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.208047979105236
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 70419132.04021613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.12885544398512,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.392761917807521
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 82855952.58185539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.661138644163678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.215705360708655
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 96085137.56853141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.966487107376626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.26440759420005566
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 74169430.98421063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.80863319646049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7446135233130766
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 66902820.45010871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.797311962186761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.880585336069012
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 57279316.087077916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.384302931155657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.838422107649997
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 76877951.79334874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.21590382901278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2027434398086845
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "854370",
      "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74668306.71790612,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8748584934086874,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "480256",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11457487.914471969,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.328926562164273,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8576292762077261,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "300660",
      "hs_description": "Pharmaceutical goods: chemical contraceptive preparations based on hormones or spermicides",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28427112.392460037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.327545276503944,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6588118358790365,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47049766.837128006,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.00261415347244,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.82690982833,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250882844.2477154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9298125885449033,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28804894.612974234,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.09424439440616,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7225062810387599,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71492199.00422117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.62952763458891,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4031794402946494,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39363553.234807104,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3841759906814985,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9637651918966887,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18932125.36045172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.74431755871788,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8650316370548934,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17373103.899689365,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.31345920979956,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0199764526940818,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "distance_km": 6747,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "importer_population": 117876.228,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949492,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-ETH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-ETH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-ETH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-ETH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-ETH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}