{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.557Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Thailand exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Thailand to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EST",
    "country_name": "Estonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "all_history_lane_count": 91,
    "current_lane_count": 73,
    "current_product_count": 73,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 23799996.64559226,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8232229.120707736,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11953003.504659764,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 14667320.820966754,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1469909.8381054117,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 23799996.64559226,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 44,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 47,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 73,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0977230946392478,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.40877503833922,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 459.23998939719604,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.87234321586793,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 27.521773565499334,
    "top_product_hs6": "854231",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2349617.354217923,
    "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "854231",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7899.0712890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04600000008940697,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6714076350421456,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9988460895785438,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9212242586053645,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 34.58920286122115,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 6504378.068503222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 4581933.894918409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.55615668920062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2970996.70782893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.15845544773328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 2399204.8641233244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.24579189868727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.283263462393226
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 3294638.1679305136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.32208604596936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.411354865509459
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 6033438.4897960825,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.12901697444708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.635141404723385
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 9451359.8653381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.64964317316734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.93400745725159
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 19547098.88982166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.81784598540847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.03318611847826
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 27671670.56694861,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.56407926783183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.14610446523766
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 28727172.31397205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.814376672596498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.85478971121177
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 28945996.9608339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7617340282232377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.981771032243362
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 53747472.64253272,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.68188449427765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.7692476122809
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 60677110.96254656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.892956597423533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.30512526103317
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 63553606.09336982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.740659344507692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.97222745273598
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 35927532.8608201,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.4689310815233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.564100412284906
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 56567981.87835465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.4502265365499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.310340266516775
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 93890146.3735925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.97754287133037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.892013978254703
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 84614205.12363279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.8795684192997,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.04706379029343
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 79166041.93948308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.438828062249369,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.8551751839715
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 85987847.64798258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.6170857369809,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8881217211304766
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 56848916.6765485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.887266362013335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.415691651134308
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 54005152.59155158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.00231886770508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.969718936328011
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 55472259.04789049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.716604594074279,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.593531004192439
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 59748207.80720993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.708265054841035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6718899412998534
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 57798971.12449938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.262418663669664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.288851736033859
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 48274285.78982204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.47898768675501,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.52712482341645
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 50352968.9360246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.305984256821094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.543162705830307
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 55407231.80204655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.037666045955685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3988193759301604
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 50292096.11122713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.231891802669857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3743213596112414
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "export_value_usd": 46925771.808531865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.693545433561221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3222949576795937
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 92098108.53977531,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.67054354083383,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8466025643739512,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68964661.71292642,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.08363227716713,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7060703162927516,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27507471.83469436,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.906562764981,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8545735366948862,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 107363413.72972621,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.98792970753496,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.41935240936437,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "900150",
      "hs_description": "Lenses, spectacle: unmounted, of materials other than glass",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10023347.723837921,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2287843684352635,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33617576.074862964,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.908972051659922,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9664501785178206,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134428129.38829893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.06723184291263,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0320927292002908,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "841510",
      "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: comprising a motor-driven fan and elements for changing the temperature and humidity, window or wall types, self-contained or split-system",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22038133.938627377,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.73549856309236,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7521598942068242,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47636122.75277099,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.3363409418799,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0997116389321038,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "EST",
      "hs_code": "841590",
      "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: with motor driven fan and elements for temperature control, parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29046056.23244048,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.00675664707036,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2680548645976275,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "EST",
    "distance_km": 7898,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173,
    "importer_population": 1329.254,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6714076350421456,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9988460895785438,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.9212242586053645
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-EST/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-EST/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-EST/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-EST/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-EST/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}