{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:04.699Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Thailand exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Thailand to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "DEU",
    "country_name": "Germany"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 924,
    "current_lane_count": 864,
    "current_product_count": 864,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 6801735738.84167,
    "attention_trade_usd": 4412999236.086795,
    "critical_trade_usd": 283498419.6600581,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3260962038.539787,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1338172279.5668228,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 57979641.15921312,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1295558850.7116773,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 6801735738.84167,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 11,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 267,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 450,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 426,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 23,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 168,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 864,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3521006712361843,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.953534446544925,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 238.6366853326861,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 8.299038847971186,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 20.39732544353521,
    "top_product_hs6": "854239",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 564478691.3028101,
    "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "847130",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 9065.87890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0560000017285347,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9026527891543212,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.878263682716051,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6559746983546828,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.222288984361368,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
    "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 64.880486474741,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.168030493174344,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802,
    "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1943800775.0693898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1889135377.7804866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8122942428064346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1768264985.5949485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.3981858371392475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1882855425.688745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.480388461418385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.056240546412135
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1861577486.602904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1300888424854771,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4886360363860365
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2153816532.1604486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.698462602856056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.795704816953618
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2009759948.5836325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.68843336587801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1980017714677835
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 1944625227.7257528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.240920434491845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.465468696628358
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2084663300.2176619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.201288479409684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.081906308016023
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2322674451.2068725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.4172466586983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.94168952117251
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2522021734.2786613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.582661378490087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.0530048003989
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 2881383418.4799986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.24895270794011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.392267342117002
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 3586253693.8880672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.462911492004945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.580407658814899
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4158142541.1360254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.946692455768229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.136341141655166
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 3477209926.514355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.375884373498074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.46575855012701
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4346637978.497166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.0036112388057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.619707620747839
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4847301896.697533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.518417698394789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.244699408200848
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4559890033.007539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.929316345775937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.456398151049306
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4929510982.5461445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.105918056423334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.2837859177002
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 5389678793.655151,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.334958634605272,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5986918312747473
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 4949690813.963235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.163528784124951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7719429945133767
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 5207635833.842623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.211336012175072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.84637817914457
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 5724928783.348313,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.93335490442675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.031843853317805
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 6000578389.784082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.814900182470927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.628102498685373
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 5442943024.621431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.29302692073849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4840351767502868
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 5120408617.519564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.92573550086537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6515252859486536
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 6442910056.959049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.82804495161821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3991421482774555
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 6916562226.314507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.351525400294245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.314225860313872
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 7014073301.087345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4098199594279937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.059375433397346
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "export_value_usd": 6958623063.361307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7905568611243585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.599933944540722
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "854239",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6715758605.297569,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.36656305033267,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9369295987174158,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11109286479.554321,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 4.769292318843442,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "711311",
      "hs_description": "Jewellery: of silver, whether or not plated or clad with other precious metal, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 494067471.705212,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.546235586251655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7975607994172209,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "847170",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2866954097.68688,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.80940533316603,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5967796636562076,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "854231",
      "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7105695334.588194,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.758645798701195,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8448359249844517,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8429677181.000453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1270541122460829,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "844331",
      "hs_description": "Printing, copying, and facsimile machines: machines which perform two or more of the functions of printing, copying or facsimile transmission, capable of connecting to an automatic data processing machine or to a network",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1220010612.7529726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.4938039272345,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0538123541938424,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10820223255.546944,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0203361294809221,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14342876548.75759,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3302853243701644,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "THA",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "900150",
      "hs_description": "Lenses, spectacle: unmounted, of materials other than glass",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 466331554.8501879,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.617310387334871,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4701813289627086,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "THA",
    "importer_iso3": "DEU",
    "distance_km": 8615,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783,
    "importer_population": 83129.288,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9026527891543212,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.878263682716051,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6559746983546828,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.222288984361368
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-DEU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-DEU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-DEU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-DEU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/THA-DEU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}