{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:14.355Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Chad exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Chad to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "TCD",
    "country_name": "Chad"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 23,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 39821678.395330966,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32266872.08645952,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 252761.4510037729,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7554806.308871446,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2670765454886221,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.3821254942214443,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6884.118297806504,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 81.02840811009806,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.4916024286725,
    "top_product_hs6": "520100",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 32266872.08645952,
    "top_product_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6672.6630859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4733.73922214182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 30278.744021943116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 539.6369255052297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1604635.3897858819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5199.544091468909,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3183702.6361295935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.40660728256891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 776.1451392819548
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1179322.1403685592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.95752853971772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 238.97281125577928
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 300852.00319297356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.4894127825878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.76537428405061
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 139528.00372233795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.62237836493933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.74319438458913
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 811959.9445723238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 481.9333201298657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.698641651404529
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3611774.2051357757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 344.8217217215281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 128.9756118350399
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3657079.399731641,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.254375052887946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 197.0464293359462
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 512700.203327505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.98061055592265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.208756751464712
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 141504.3144186413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.40018367454195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.03619308931424
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5103542.657836486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3506.6339593983166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.749550922775033
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 122517877.05859537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2300.6437346118637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 520.5526831311823
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13497043.923413392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.98361263886552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 356.9019306899138
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 348011154.59879607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2478.424998640623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 308.5455380871883
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 131831089.20068538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.11871732885499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.472215456659388
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 81876504.00571159,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.892871475049674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.37845956050047
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 480799033.6548681,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 487.2246739080705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.375621520102076
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 240364390.2249888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.00730588041707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.166114824667126
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 108473961.10840926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.87103517834977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.83027463521957
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3005174.4132121415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.22958912673175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -81.57947379793306
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5519467.2710619755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.66545538241759,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -71.57662281921058
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4500428.388473389,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.462631129843043,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.38140388166174
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 40896389.987743914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 808.722158372496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 138.7472788521486
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 988593873.325769,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3498888994697888,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "130120",
      "hs_description": "Gum Arabic",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42082713.12795982,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9566144642544003,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202812721.10292804,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.20252881566231,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43064104311499984,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "120770",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: melon seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 153413622.06037855,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "TCD",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 6671,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 11779.980801999998,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 696.42273437294,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}