{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.616Z", "seo": { "title": "Chad exports to Germany: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Chad to Germany, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "TCD", "country_name": "Chad" }, "importer": { "iso3": "DEU", "country_name": "Germany" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "all_history_lane_count": 12, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 967413332.934583, "attention_trade_usd": 1530941.8287381458, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11575818.202234406, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1530941.8287381458, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1530941.8287381458, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8542755574251135, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.370543683499303, "product_concentration_hhi": 9732.327336174489, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.64517475780346, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 954306572.9036105, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "130120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4433.431640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03252200037240982, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802, "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0.15825105739385845, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4223116.205969, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 50802, "buyer_population_2024": 83129.288 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 26480090.209875993, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 14831831.608226642, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.98874214297437, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 20111842.453952502, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.5991827927526, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 25846833.666538566, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.51549392213437, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.803588262259336 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 15796174.273892911, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.88545700534796, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.121936945774716 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 14595941.210509948, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.598251592897687, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.134412947319637 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 12403253.527039208, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.022585058727667, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.709435530130516 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 10339651.087524107, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.63758976639822, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.173694417658199 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 15327348.341527632, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.238545109338496, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6431948628866877 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 10481342.500064531, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.6167267389195, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.457496727255473 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 11390523.33848736, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.674278494546206, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2791364927603706 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 10225053.391911402, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.231926242036305, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.622519276437894 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 11529706.221344214, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.759374248987942, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.22869639042207 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 9300390.64669808, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.335406573665715, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.534248081121219 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4873744.209431304, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.596349502140214, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.88536953632504 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 86765699.169481, "yoy_growth_pct": 1680.267807275945, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.96414171753531 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 16917674.502608906, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.50188650060515, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.071184312971347 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3950397.328937116, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.64928871679192, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.762057295531132 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3325850.5673210486, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.809720127167726, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.28279598052377 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4252766.151486308, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.870031001178887, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.888241781810116 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3359497.143213984, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.004423390647375, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.257574465910619 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3671633.9804169093, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.291177336865019, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.35199941881299 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2251197.041539753, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.686779413558746, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.106429984277884 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1342134.6066813355, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.381291290106056, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.34979960343331 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 65076229.98156584, "yoy_growth_pct": 4748.711124622462, "cagr_3y_pct": 160.7279969967505 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 259146844.87344894, "yoy_growth_pct": 298.2204330934007, "cagr_3y_pct": 386.45664335519825 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1015966819.897476, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.0429054012255, "cagr_3y_pct": 811.3694853010545 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1219644071.6409414, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.047628303847475, "cagr_3y_pct": 165.62579137302248 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 730099327.9868064, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.138328471148846, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.23597781271147 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 967486298.3448573, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.51433897530458, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6166138095254357 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38792530009.57262, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.580507404584807, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8519954870603478, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "120740", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97829449.21907607, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0599368042926605, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "130120", "hs_description": "Gum Arabic", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42349764.44892333, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.07828749022978, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7204944657073867, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "TCD", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "distance_km": 4485, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 11779.980801999998, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 696.42273437294, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-DEU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-DEU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-DEU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-DEU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/TCD-DEU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }