{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.211Z", "seo": { "title": "Syrian Arab Republic exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Syrian Arab Republic to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SYR", "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic" }, "importer": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "all_history_lane_count": 37, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 459953.4905358997, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 446608.82285222656, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 459953.4905358997, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1510821908362576, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.24284083389541, "product_concentration_hhi": 9436.573565307004, "top1_product_share_pct": 97.0986919420646, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "091099", "top_product_trade_usd": 446608.82285222656, "top_product_description": "Spices: mixtures of 2 or more products of the same heading", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 2420.976806640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841, "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841, "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 540141.9048599642, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 405710.47980985785, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.88816806112436, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 66872.15324636002, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.5172723963895, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 735608.7346400836, "yoy_growth_pct": 1000.0225040310397, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.844207307505659 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1181390.387689358, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.60037518007248, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.79918725181098 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 870737.277198361, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.29555088039891, "cagr_3y_pct": 135.25955795953192 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 2200299.8303672997, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.6938822978695, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.08264173685226 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1493349.953559191, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.129706463236715, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.124153385835719 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 298530.9805131068, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.00930861506374, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.010306770274486 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 15868486.56447703, "yoy_growth_pct": 5215.524217018519, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.20478629652025 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 9309758.852728728, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.33177845977182, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.045673659142 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 17194546.28465302, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.69378806319166, "cagr_3y_pct": 286.18947867385987 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 21047518.978665117, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.40810911917499, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.872363560873065 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 51112273.57905935, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.84227338561598, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.4123245625207 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 31072854.422375172, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.20666750557993, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.80454017745712 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 48573994.57849775, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.3229239201154, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.15014279231436 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 42116380.42570951, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.294385625115613, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.249135735164202 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 18101364.816908076, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.02060662872566, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.48264655755911 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 16709066.357859267, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.69167669472246, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.93258082002712 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 8662948.657107105, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.15420280480001, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.97016533003669 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 996948.4203676174, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.49181197039972, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.95299669786263 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1082326.8621468781, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.56397783826952, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.83922504456993 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1314300.214210823, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.43283699009446, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.6653299467224 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1214983.62060908, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.556613970528647, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8150819119910055 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 883958.2347372039, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.245255018823265, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.52594077038704 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1248027.7292521584, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.18627783621365, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7098754536946315 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1615288.5728034368, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.427298363903166, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.957932621700238 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 955265.1113452918, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.8610246225312, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.619695941926792 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1669003.4254571425, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.71625474803523, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.173631422222517 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "export_value_usd": 1193829.7652728474, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.470502393016016, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.587024804751076 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "091099", "hs_description": "Spices: mixtures of 2 or more products of the same heading", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26437627.55213968, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.787936756944447, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.185476516535432, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "071190", "hs_description": "Vegetables and mixed vegetables: n.e.c. in heading no. 0711, provisionally preserved but unsuitable in that state for immediate consumption", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12984727.048837982, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "POL", "distance_km": 2415, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "importer_population": 37781.025, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.09669518989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-POL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-POL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-POL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-POL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-POL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }