{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.617Z", "seo": { "title": "Syrian Arab Republic exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Syrian Arab Republic to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SYR", "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EGY", "country_name": "Egypt" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "all_history_lane_count": 192, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 15540094.14519182, "attention_trade_usd": 7824608.5094509525, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7105457.218546061, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7986641.081209993, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8524509.51863663, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.091508731811784, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.143589845338504, "product_concentration_hhi": 2136.0980700063333, "top1_product_share_pct": 36.72640830907952, "top3_product_share_pct": 69.0623115678721, "top_product_hs6": "080810", "top_product_trade_usd": 5707318.427378508, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "top_attention_product_hs6": "150910", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 614.0630493164062, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.910800039768219, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021963541858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.00011910391000000001, "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.73625403669605, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876, "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.35110107020764, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876, "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 10740810.13357489, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 13981038.437695934, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.16744792827457, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 16653391.498809066, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.114124269252297, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 27278839.932769615, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.80351074266408, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.43620134761218 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 22403886.598984756, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.870823487360465, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.020328253049264 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 25866526.767034866, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.45553336360408, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.80975475656594 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 196866402.1925254, "yoy_growth_pct": 661.0855680996116, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.24810133918444 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 138487245.37351602, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.654200091449578, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.52510041886426 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 240436342.9986133, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.61623617404538, "cagr_3y_pct": 110.25871152642934 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 279020922.34454936, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.04773174667633, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.32809367395269 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 145174756.85848427, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.96993872767181, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5844211308624345 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 305284035.5174461, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.28727178447122, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.284923334048733 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 309138285.1653484, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.262512676553662, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4757718285342687 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 651054355.6154984, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.60295241893763, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.90812246605245 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 406045792.8607544, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.63258177162736, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.974072275231038 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 407775016.42000085, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.42586909891699776, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.670361108078351 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 305334964.7167024, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.121708682070665, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.306188027585183 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 225615461.44156468, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.108868124259377, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.788744397970824 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 281064604.11872405, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.576836322683015, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.665874464831905 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 104182983.12461595, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.932727352388994, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.1220616752255 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 144721394.68377048, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.91078019014438, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.757508702941346 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 120437601.00886066, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.779684667890415, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.60914880827757 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 101175122.07976519, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.993741794706063, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9717777208409939 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 78184064.69058202, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.724022384729427, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.555486148440558 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 83459127.4478625, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.746979423693111, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.508019582147266 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 77708388.3587752, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.890485516613909, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.420544938200159 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 65380991.700980715, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.863662750126274, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.786945104078223 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 63203595.74215411, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3303195656390616, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.850144976856278 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 32437393.932580043, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.67792955180605, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.26465947072657 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "export_value_usd": 46121419.67322806, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.18595910969227, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.980793020893287 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137282179.58697748, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.92331422005967, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8657957759256506, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "150910", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: olive oil and its fractions, virgin, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33409196.41647371, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.103317438359971, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1220831018088069, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "120190", "hs_description": "Soya beans: other than seed, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1756141197.6397753, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9280676072784454, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "080251", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, in shell", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13612273.394378081, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.789491569187087, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8664445580062978, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "080212", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: almonds, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22410553.739951055, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.22753333724109, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4240395511280466, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "121190", "hs_description": "Plants and parts (including seeds and fruits) n.e.c. in heading no. 1211, of a kind used primarily in perfumery, in pharmacy or for insecticidal, fungicidal or similar purposes, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not cut, crushed or powdered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16448630.647698227, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.58498743658608, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7476410465172517, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "490199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20869708.339802414, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1033864960776543, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36865628.10449859, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.218527574847684, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0747470873029314, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "121299", "hs_description": "Vegetable products (including unroasted chicory roots, chicorium intybus sativum variety): n.e.c. in chapter 12, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, ground or unground, primarily for human consumption", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10659025.22704872, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.6271937330723, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0644524553141506, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "hs_code": "732190", "hs_description": "Domestic appliances: non-electric, parts thereof, of iron or steel", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27963180.462252878, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.19282851861161, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9469699886208, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYR", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "distance_km": 615, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883, "importer_population": 104258.324, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021963541858586, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.00011910391000000001, "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.73625403669605 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-EGY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-EGY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-EGY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-EGY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYR-EGY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }