{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.277Z", "seo": { "title": "Seychelles exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Seychelles to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SYC", "country_name": "Seychelles" }, "importer": { "iso3": "THA", "country_name": "Thailand" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "all_history_lane_count": 28, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2493607.8659968986, "attention_trade_usd": 1431095.4381802685, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1431095.4381802685, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 914293.208324524, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1579314.6576723745, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2493607.8659968986, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.0672604815790083, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.053300188178355, "product_concentration_hhi": 4673.363920213322, "top1_product_share_pct": 57.3905567789883, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "160414", "top_product_trade_usd": 1431095.4381802685, "top_product_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "160414", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5377.1103515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03799999877810478, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233, "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.3905567789883, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233, "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 13303252.293142712, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 14663693.812066017, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.226382909572852, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6984474.795097064, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.36892637958731, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 111866.40378400472, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.39835625346473, "cagr_3y_pct": -79.66485454858483 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 7294974.315184883, "yoy_growth_pct": 6421.148502521146, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.763224381961788 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6123975.894141895, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.05212534615087, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2879600361312225 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 10302262.891911404, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.22833841926774, "cagr_3y_pct": 351.5900007099229 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 12854427.83335779, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.772857849028117, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.784070382565467 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 37242019.17744696, "yoy_growth_pct": 189.72132918123611, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.5295776775596 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5511942.388988363, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.19966824912038, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.81844846992129 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 10390861.57213367, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.51542412511975, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.8464086491504705 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2531968.183169276, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.63274069631014, "cagr_3y_pct": -59.1860769308233 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4890167.96827407, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.13702284177303, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9111411708002586 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1778041.612669949, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.640479750279646, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.48247196359696 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 12478443.366065908, "yoy_growth_pct": 601.8082859898866, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.17694491434645 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 21377417.406604134, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.31477684739306, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.509812375734676 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4881337.330735061, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.16591654693018, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.022867349745205 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5451078.088309225, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.671816942189661, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.123492894379517 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5400589.228608513, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.926217876221469, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.7837636241926 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 10826231.102870652, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.46388726476204, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.41057930955622 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4095552.871670327, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.17009564312402, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.0903377097026 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 24751193.152489293, "yoy_growth_pct": 504.3431479959087, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.1058767282808 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 32308243.391547453, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.532064424127082, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.972214285580826 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 48241355.73624561, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.31593510548646, "cagr_3y_pct": 127.52842253221645 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 11158053.148681514, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.87035743836272, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.32317959577249 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 25581590.016135912, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.2657121745181, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.486581403323167 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4952527.973968593, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.64026524213419, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.17593173029365 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 14529910.185766835, "yoy_growth_pct": 193.3837075154091, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.200552247873173 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 19731096.536216356, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.79641087901895, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.29185781002073 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2855171.6593509433, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.52958446019315, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.772197303216274 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "160414", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 342379029.53201663, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8799528085236514, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "030342", "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 164402471.07388777, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.87565131103418, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.968704427247457, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "030487", "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, tunas (of the genus Thunnus), skipjack or stripe-bellied bonito (Euthynnus (Katsuwonus) pelamis)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26292267.98858867, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9969678242633341, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "THA", "distance_km": 5376, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161, "importer_population": 69950.844, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-THA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-THA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-THA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-THA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-THA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }