{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.343Z", "seo": { "title": "Seychelles exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Seychelles to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SYC", "country_name": "Seychelles" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HKG", "country_name": "Hong Kong" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4147581.712185415, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 307561.2059729519, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 367398.7879969379, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 307561.2059729519, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 59837.58202398605, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.707049219357729, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.17912086143909, "product_concentration_hhi": 8363.907876296986, "top1_product_share_pct": 91.14185533903922, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "030819", "top_product_trade_usd": 3780182.924188477, "top_product_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), dried, salted or in brine, smoked, whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7048.7412109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.13680000603199005, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661, "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661, "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 77390.55564551991, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 130303.36699557299, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.37114801503064, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 13868.531495041787, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.3567358888639, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 66436.5930084741, "yoy_growth_pct": 379.0456223301378, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.959992325127105 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 91104.98361376702, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.1307279440811, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.244454241357083 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 788714.802484561, "yoy_growth_pct": 765.7208104314691, "cagr_3y_pct": 284.5591697703364 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 804034.2009203898, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9423241946988412, "cagr_3y_pct": 129.59145652502332 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1040813.1561283823, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.44886609760482, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.22168998479266 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1024002.4766945159, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.615148630172858, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.09219291083354 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1002356.2779678799, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.11388148166497, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.625669008703717 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 2297085.721905295, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.16858729735057, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.1971496140657 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 3209002.12073668, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.69884058462587, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.33773620279502 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 3412099.1384937586, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.3289773616744815, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.42955661198647 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 2947270.950471961, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.622939110350474, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.662815531501057 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8360601.696635707, "yoy_growth_pct": 183.6726530113183, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.60129143966762 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 7059786.568092833, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.55886975295474, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.42558718203778 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 5799514.112696799, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.851424306393593, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.311380763268442 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 5097675.060781029, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.101687111671023, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.203445717588448 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 7353498.26446785, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.25200070208477, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3679835756269076 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4215934.648517995, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.66763250778997, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.084598707392068 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4376346.173563853, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8048864230437296, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.958523856978225 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 2417696.8631907417, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.75535601376104, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.9809012068628 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1531217.3325690147, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.666281208298415, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.652133876454556 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 2903982.6185543905, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.65189047868245, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.777717334825633 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4524941.9331729375, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.818492309897664, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.235847038906154 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4668119.788207884, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1641920968154436, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.00012784735723 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 5053534.816336735, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.256322579862797, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.281937889308345 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 5121768.921542831, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.350225291522933, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.216301533048283 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8281264.297227595, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.68758146029418, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.05559997474973 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8338720.983264189, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6938153882593667, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.168410397405864 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "030819", "hs_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), dried, salted or in brine, smoked, whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 95693567.23126625, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.02309967025602, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6416664255154275, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "030571", "hs_description": "Fish: edible offal, shark fins", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57994373.19064606, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.76053200357374, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4597754855122351, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "081340", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruit n.e.c. in heading no. 0812, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10298404.906834856, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.41565966201843, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9685825584912103, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "distance_km": 7048, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296, "importer_population": 7413.1, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-HKG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-HKG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-HKG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-HKG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-HKG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }