{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.307Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Seychelles exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Seychelles to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SYC",
    "country_name": "Seychelles"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 34,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 92022737.08775969,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2183173.8973402316,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 85502855.8074524,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7602754337062461,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 68.22691210798394,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8656.323922116517,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 92.91492354320057,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.43364301786221,
    "top_product_hs6": "160414",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 85502855.8074524,
    "top_product_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7855.244140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6495408415794373,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 907974.880078277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 8667489.459631598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 854.5957327458628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 23677991.966125418,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 173.18166438395446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 20352581.4419738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.044309707128322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 181.95635608076017
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 24360560.51179675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.69273077840219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.12306002207416
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 31645998.072298758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.90669100973269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.151726721596388
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 40493725.874351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.958441322781603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.77357699943108
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 64317476.55106285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.83318998759255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.21247372310377
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 127584444.7520746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.36668288872141,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.15720735293266
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 111669587.64058661,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.473979208369911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.232623172050076
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 81566429.43382074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.957346975842867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.241587110384586
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 106288040.12274823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.30856059352882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.90593659878661
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 134127043.59886234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.19203764032514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.298502544366302
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 99049539.15539518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.15244733819264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.687532129476081
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 51873776.77430525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.62845216985575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.267418768919498
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 131754117.89782506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 153.98983087556317,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5932332160102693
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 571089334.0570991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 333.4508425004046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.31523786035466
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 314300370.62363917,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.9647626246484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.30517969653104
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 303510220.95723075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4330693422341407,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.06965430127162
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 255610488.86122584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.781917309056526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.50643990682292
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 93067414.23958975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.590142699458156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.34732483899053
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 111486980.56085624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.791638643626385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.382864857925817
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 116568439.32618453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.55789432969218,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.027763835700455
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 134066719.18067692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.011164218754192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.938264906813114
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 109788615.05058391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.10897162134196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5103924546462912
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 127161439.4855263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.823885224290368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9417352053753953
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 145376469.65286946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.324334673339735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7364083633260483
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 150186993.6684274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.309011442528864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.009038008396699
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 133724420.50649184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.961384045199352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6916037060739297
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 92908828.01853503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.522168152506858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.863420628382194
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "160414",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 557866941.5391521,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.95506199698262,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7552032733443089,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "160420",
      "hs_description": "Fish preparations: fish minced or in forms n.e.c. in heading no. 1604, prepared or preserved",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141446865.19047028,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.79171968999971,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6194303608932196,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "030232",
      "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, yellowfin tunas (Thunnus albacares), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16487497.77211157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.164820634695112,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "030449",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, other than fish of heading 0304.4",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70866262.28553724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.74123659106671,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9289134716761385,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SYC",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 7833,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}