{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.546Z", "seo": { "title": "Seychelles exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Seychelles to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SYC", "country_name": "Seychelles" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 59, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 125410254.48839003, "attention_trade_usd": 116451504.45974585, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 125410254.48839003, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 112409372.65239987, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6341400.01764582, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 11, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3252263814340925, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 71.94599459156453, "product_concentration_hhi": 8044.441499514756, "top1_product_share_pct": 89.57065510187093, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.52329893322823, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 112330786.51017444, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3240.80322265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.85644537985246, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 11538.999999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4288.999999999593, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.83040124794529, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 316314.99999999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 7275.029144323385, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5552.609545758477, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.2445949304464, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.63725259271897 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 20549.95379855171, "yoy_growth_pct": 270.0954232276136, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.5847428636019 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3028.7065300309814, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.2617355750725, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.76531601161454 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 242131.06049305823, "yoy_growth_pct": 7894.5368787705365, "cagr_3y_pct": 251.97984005134097 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 263099.2274233621, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.659841859035255, "cagr_3y_pct": 133.9391500357038 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 338755.8039486554, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.75590980111533, "cagr_3y_pct": 381.8107847795476 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 578365.6839368098, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.73233202064092, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.67514719436804 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 687561.7947657999, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.880115792091235, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.741261006615346 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 622048.99195352, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.528278521437505, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.45577802654093 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 94905756.79357773, "yoy_growth_pct": 15156.958538833089, "cagr_3y_pct": 447.47380777771485 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1253687.342411474, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.67901865517149, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.168479351496018 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2662315.630994996, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.35881873657733, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.35972876494491 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 502887805.1085547, "yoy_growth_pct": 18789.11289307229, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.33831701707427 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 527991623.5105723, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.991932225638007, "cagr_3y_pct": 649.5706915392983 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 383306232.2549892, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.402970958815974, "cagr_3y_pct": 424.11764328514226 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 395272246.3640581, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.121789603751779, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.712742720293098 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 581667189.40171, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.156091719623646, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2799085622942092 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 158837125.8487623, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.69278227432106, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.446383887528455 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 140551784.32457963, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.512007300858096, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.154324237089867 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 90609051.32896015, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.53333259739024, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.19379786259342 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 58115867.81784716, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.86085830779208, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.476695874825907 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1603372039.7761636, "yoy_growth_pct": 2658.922992945094, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.11234610007382 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 640022923.3565934, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.08269400494579, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.87040043049936 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 270430026.95239145, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.7468217022409, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.95011711366763 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 266915461.26351726, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2996210992106016, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.98938818065383 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 198992080.2827398, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.447525841794093, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.254556901753475 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 127682363.68197197, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.83545460675958, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.13206324605318 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5315003038.003537, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.16789466168086, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2596897594011027, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "160414", "hs_description": "Fish preparations: tunas, skipjack and Atlantic bonito (sarda spp.), prepared or preserved, whole or in pieces (but not minced)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145840523.5520076, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8907416486095048, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47503733.219883636, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.150065985898745, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "030343", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14328014.323452763, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2266382768311967, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 190977065.2882772, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7664424192760642, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 317097882.1227632, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1704923966283, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "030342", "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13073364.057221692, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0918577786768597, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "220840", "hs_description": "Rum and other spirits obtained by distilling fermented sugar-cane products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18571899.800677747, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.736301011319892, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.505103349808599, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "030389", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23560291.874777403, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.142425096464656, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36324505.607760176, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.5375750331501454, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0109892045507383, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SYC", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 3307, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SYC-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }