{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.149Z", "seo": { "title": "Eswatini exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Eswatini to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SWZ", "country_name": "Eswatini" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 61, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2261003.3130631004, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 583504.225972328, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 118310.63861793812, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 177295.58935642475, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6673767931713621, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.666451069409593, "product_concentration_hhi": 1322.3120376211928, "top1_product_share_pct": 24.96699879967861, "top3_product_share_pct": 52.247076902475676, "top_product_hs6": "841490", "top_product_trade_usd": 564504.6700331579, "top_product_description": "Pumps and compressors: parts, of air or vacuum pumps, air or other gas compressors and fans, ventilating or recycling hoods incorporating a fan", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5918.01806640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 448322.88702441123, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 220334.74299566814, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.85355903686646, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 31971.0925505245, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.48976338645193, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 212215.37608106603, "yoy_growth_pct": 563.7726744736615, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.06569878175865 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 717329.6850268105, "yoy_growth_pct": 238.01965638568592, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.21037520415934 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 210121.35814215132, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.70784012872716, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.31428857558778 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2105865.246313177, "yoy_growth_pct": 902.2137991743405, "cagr_3y_pct": 114.89084317565457 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 662759.1237447569, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.5279423787882, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6029871824193807 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 7233701.603328727, "yoy_growth_pct": 991.4525872471555, "cagr_3y_pct": 225.3095379660179 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 826634.0065080691, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.57246190349242, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.7803643588589 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3680763.7775820983, "yoy_growth_pct": 345.27127466370075, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.09001596857792 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 10516196.731527135, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.70691755816094, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.283338001633172 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6527826.372175588, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.92597705399113, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.13691537987638 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 12711317.060993921, "yoy_growth_pct": 94.72510965020511, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.1532658434138 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 6447078.418903256, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.280799243952245, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.049080582008223 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1293014.6764305246, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.94417637856985, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.7076424659377 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2588110.227136997, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.16093199202443, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.17019541593088 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3526783.116049274, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.26865962160544, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.215324771899787 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 777080.1387684199, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.96631907326044, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.610686965179344 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1761412.4437407362, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.67062968979836, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.038472250676701 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2594995.554591401, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.32469750698325, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.72116313670056 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1176298.4795197938, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.67050117143613, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.819920596962511 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 1188362.2980273557, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0255746069217642, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.294007345016356 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 2953294.938495213, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.518060813406, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.405505624322825 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 3606038.6938315053, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.10222036505718, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.2683316828083 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "841490", "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: parts, of air or vacuum pumps, air or other gas compressors and fans, ventilating or recycling hoods incorporating a fan", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 222821488.27018365, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7782451346255361, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "381239", "hs_description": "Anti-oxidising preparations and other compound stabilisers: for rubber or plastics, other than mixtures of oligomers of 2,2,4-trimethyl-1,2-dihydroquinoline (TMQ)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41398617.163267955, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "846719", "hs_description": "Tools: for working in the hand, pneumatic, other than rotary type", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16766636.338721296, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "291829", "hs_description": "Acids: carboxylic acids, (with phenol function but without other oxygen function), their anhydrides, halides, peroxides, peroxyacids and their derivatives, n.e.s. in item no. 2918.2", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20921120.51096876, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123940783.6164569, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "730799", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: tube or pipe fittings, n.e.c. in item no. 7307.9, other than stainless steel", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127488484.66149965, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9011322019143969, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "845490", "hs_description": "Machines: parts of converters, ladles, ingot moulds and casting machines, of a kind used in metallurgy or in metal foundries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14954889.145041134, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7421995445588558, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080550", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76950019.13841268, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.93722228876375, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9207179183499759, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42177772.45199695, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.58955768199797, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2239119921773021, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "848490", "hs_description": "Gasket sets or assortments of gaskets and similar joints: dissimilar in composition, put up in pouches, envelopes or similar packings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44458378.38692834, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9882676277038708, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWZ", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 5887, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4941.373182, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4214.86168774507, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }