{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.153Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Eswatini exports to Guyana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Eswatini to Guyana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SWZ",
    "country_name": "Eswatini"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GUY",
    "country_name": "Guyana"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
    "importer_iso3": "GUY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1858490.5372520078,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 214091.27523754752,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 152418.53341352422,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 61672.74182402332,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1858490.5372520078,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8975735910847676,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.274586168754943,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7907.047155642939,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 88.48036775295579,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271320",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1644399.26201446,
    "top_product_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 10280.970703125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 18,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 7409.179921,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9375,
    "buyer_population_latest": 790.329,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 36.661725442922986,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 35.882601991445725,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5733798441144744,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.152,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.3,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 7409.179921,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9375,
    "buyer_population_2024": 790.329
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 244633.96126069297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 370879.1142111388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.605734665725045,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 275331.32294292795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.7625160347574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 301298.5084711109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.431250048351947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.191433281961546
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 183118.9345947742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.22341815630593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.96242165901486
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 58104.65299257592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.2694456904982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.463253680460085
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 163134.41428253293,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 180.75963951351156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.495259553192845
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2059.6192566350264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.73747102002159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.59467591279177
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 845083.1597088267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40931.037993377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 144.09722667824906
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 23956.557787324415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.16518338910237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -47.2414388531203
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 12101.92907425479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.48385664714316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.44958456698501
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 140511.0282458979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1061.063061795793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.011696441352754
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 619972.7988354799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 341.22714535296944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 195.78949074873938
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 1062658.5018786336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.40405254467103,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 344.4740113624481
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 1252688.7383283728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.882531040197016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.35328515715659
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 939077.108571334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.0350801569057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.84432501579185
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 838539.1121157921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.706042724062936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.591936835812152
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 1591267.953642589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.76669432002049,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.301228041953856
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 139846.1008477585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.2116560553089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.99505730725504
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 963408.8457571317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 588.9064764171961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.735948101931964
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2638956.505224045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 173.91865009814396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.36672689223542
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2935265.36734878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.228258652166701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 175.84535136478294
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 2271378.723923769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.617602170145645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.09435664705407
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 5374642.597452919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.62467825569456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.75714607101558
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "export_value_usd": 4922378.809235751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.414769540796986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.80714344828942
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12388729.432379134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7933430245500822,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "840999",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17010877.47994205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.50814345631721,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6443407681102442,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
      "importer_iso3": "GUY",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22417521.531301733,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8311385188398985,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SWZ",
    "importer_iso3": "GUY",
    "distance_km": 10277,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 7409.179921,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9374.804569995533,
    "importer_population": 790.329,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 18,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 9.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4941.373182,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4214.86168774507,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-GUY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-GUY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-GUY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-GUY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWZ-GUY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}