{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.636Z", "seo": { "title": "Sweden exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sweden to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 68, "current_lane_count": 36, "current_product_count": 36, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 27077423.28325455, "attention_trade_usd": 20544049.91313345, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 21722773.730155695, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19956375.335382156, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6153646.278578138, "access_friction_trade_usd": 27077423.28325455, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 27077423.28325455, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 31, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 29, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19, "access_friction_lane_count": 36, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2094501466629966, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.84786608447216, "product_concentration_hhi": 942.9898292591231, "top1_product_share_pct": 17.00017935968345, "top3_product_share_pct": 46.03376416881769, "top_product_hs6": "843041", "top_product_trade_usd": 4603210.524133961, "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "top_attention_product_hs6": "843041", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8376.2958984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.14239999651908875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.87150999644223, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 9718825.187192213, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 9629638.613879425, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.917668253055115, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 8788753.69269794, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.732258342171818, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 13438882.038882932, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.90998597501384, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.408020339978343 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 4443227.896140192, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.9375184387769, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.726686846944368 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 7768902.148254339, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.8481583625981, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.028094141051042 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 11815450.830349753, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.086493108999555, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.200689106182464 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 8002849.472613973, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.267929615876724, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.669583036168994 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 9645382.918353295, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.524357622370992, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.478090197154819 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 18419548.474252142, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.96751917648919, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.951461644781052 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 29675777.529964913, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.11023335586834, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.78153623869409 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 59694102.100770496, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.15429845265145, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.5991431923849 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 75889469.80138285, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.130599390326225, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.31254655062479 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 55139559.33821339, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.34227886619305, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.938259826681985 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 28097205.94698563, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.043470270330204, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.212364547309438 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 39855319.87338603, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.84798285134064, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.319559607000624 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 81295403.8456023, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.97629250966945, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.815366340108426 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 79549699.75165445, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.14735890513974, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.46808347593771 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 76934452.97647221, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2875633513976155, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.512090190789948 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 64301630.397666976, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.420240984450174, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.51911069171507 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 54206743.7338533, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.6992701450692, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.002245205486062 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 54049911.57443873, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.28932222932370744, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.102126485896902 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 48380386.137816876, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.489425924062168, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.047261073932855 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 70412716.63966192, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.53979879177383, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.110344499419675 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 52039396.14056063, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.09375319677981, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2556125155225084 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 30690231.25647591, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.02500502968888, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.076832843866693 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 26824641.03178392, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.595506995002903, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.50730043030025 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 39360227.099962495, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.731607902321734, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.888097392291062 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 36876843.07907338, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.309374218248564, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.312547446229866 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 48130460.39325241, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.51675895913433, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.514666418580795 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46683584.481231764, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.670484315760376, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0279411038272968, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25781611.996663224, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.705091705901296, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8528353626537806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87359216.14616519, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.263998660916855, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0109918648299696, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93587125.35121182, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3905479724716294, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59251781.412942946, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.276841003310075, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0714991333181447, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "847420", "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43603180.42722708, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0139378263494194, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150117391.03351834, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3131410214606982, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45906465.55214316, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.567619960056712, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8129069914028277, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "842951", "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20607389.411890287, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.19205599879123, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.049469644067471, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310230", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79771433.99910066, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.13674342104933, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.345998438853196, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 8336, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.549001424646473, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }