{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.639Z", "seo": { "title": "Sweden exports to Mali: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sweden to Mali, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MLI", "country_name": "Mali" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "all_history_lane_count": 29, "current_lane_count": 19, "current_product_count": 19, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28502660.059441514, "attention_trade_usd": 19431747.97870104, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20441102.59997839, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2491307.9661918646, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 20886470.328796722, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 10, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4357052856401338, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.96504541866436, "product_concentration_hhi": 2248.852172282423, "top1_product_share_pct": 31.55226670460215, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.75281703408416, "top_product_hs6": "870410", "top_product_trade_usd": 8993235.319861101, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods", "top_attention_product_hs6": "870410", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5624.35791015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01759999990463257, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 19143.741502999997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 918, "buyer_population_latest": 20855.724, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.52488252307195, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.405648369829594, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0459590880939302, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.709999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.962, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 68.17520869342252, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 19143.741502999997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 918, "buyer_population_2024": 20855.724 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 4646782.463542281, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1213108.38594487, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.89358345343958, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1089831.7131105377, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.162049348815128, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 707763.8063111535, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.05751412838841, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.59539965099808 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 698581.0544608969, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2974316810740683, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.80337040206046 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 424440.8613011929, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.24243169910486, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.972587122875634 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1164032.164125885, "yoy_growth_pct": 174.250730845601, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.039005986623337 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1625166.2554366002, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.61523620414713, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.50339246492122 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 2836463.854408392, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.53376507909202, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.35913563238371 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1395376.4283393286, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.80577437393907, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.228765339322551 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 1972459.5393807893, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.35680518326237, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.668642726716989 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 5151931.651545139, "yoy_growth_pct": 161.19327411717026, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.010614112286063 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 4004414.194064763, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.27353806481922, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.107130465727074 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 6399765.4402467, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.81776934394709, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.04212754599029 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 5578125.555559736, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.838593732199222, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6847769781017217 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 18425964.64400766, "yoy_growth_pct": 230.32538368811802, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.3273802265415 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 17201053.86756871, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.6477430088704, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.03698226192493 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 13890008.995382482, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.24908146720564, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.54122732956566 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 17811547.183626976, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.232798046049858, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1240951914426867 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 15121545.093253257, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.102573979909318, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.2040744802650405 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 11373970.584125023, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.78301315121746, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.444385020833943 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 13561180.070337433, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.229955537823894, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.687139958951795 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 14872293.16410977, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.668134240324356, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5524878585235204 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 17873092.287205286, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.177111155508463, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.259700289661883 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 17486155.03767379, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1649149644266674, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.842609969704185 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 19422487.58372351, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.073518116921122, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.305572921857364 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 10533130.583127884, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.7683752520203, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.159745074167596 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 25057649.82082784, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.89365965865397, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.741031420740923 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 35652562.3683274, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.28214786006428, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.441497333221648 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "export_value_usd": 41138259.18327104, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.38654293139099, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.481477448001584 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "870410", "hs_description": "Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25109753.980551906, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.7901463489705, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0754204427348728, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "843041", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12207710.781798776, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1425760526810556, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16586558.3810447, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.34570725129223, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9742248263468138, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20825559.440585062, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.323600678748472, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.949522505350512, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27577317.62260802, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.713513759540818, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9398124590904345, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25454234.734157868, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.49565228396693, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9466810945315647, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "847420", "hs_description": "Machines: for crushing or grinding earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14103801.850512212, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.23742776017511, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6047000150166706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "842951", "hs_description": "Front-end shovel loaders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14400445.852002906, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.92081683871937, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8163720462160137, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22585769.851745304, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.503943164096675, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1047425120750016, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "hs_code": "841391", "hs_description": "Pumps: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11919631.247060448, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.532781853393566, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9354558791858493, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "MLI", "distance_km": 5613, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 19143.741502999997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 917.9130632434529, "importer_population": 20855.724, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 55.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-MLI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-MLI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-MLI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-MLI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-MLI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }