{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.623Z", "seo": { "title": "Sweden exports to Libya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sweden to Libya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBY", "country_name": "Libya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "all_history_lane_count": 89, "current_lane_count": 30, "current_product_count": 30, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 32056522.24738155, "attention_trade_usd": 27169972.587752935, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12077253.961601235, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13534996.231956692, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21929998.694159094, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 32056522.24738155, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 21, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 21, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9120046890942665, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.96868165825166, "product_concentration_hhi": 3173.013196432409, "top1_product_share_pct": 52.97770178335271, "top3_product_share_pct": 75.70185616375109, "top_product_hs6": "440711", "top_product_trade_usd": 16982808.75833191, "top_product_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "top_attention_product_hs6": "440711", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2983.419921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.009800000116229057, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 41879.579677, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6018, "buyer_population_latest": 6958.538, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -6.881549959886857, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -7.99269776368906, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2076734963365698, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.702, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -16.1, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.75645729153368, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 41879.579677, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6018, "buyer_population_2024": 6958.538 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 78191055.66666667, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 120265160, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.809357060861096, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 103558198, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.891772147478122, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 89243368.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.822980002027474, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.505615332441759 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 56519067.40000001, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.66860851028605, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.252747367265158 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 51229166.5796102, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.359497712430077, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.911937686850923 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 53144659.36761693, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7390668556554596, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.86799796907422 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 54197068.51512684, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9802726370491852, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3886427176450944 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 92176139.45750327, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.07587676402862, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.628049289428276 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 78250774.92293558, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.10734189620495, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.76526246459262 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 102638607.92258877, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.1662510993294, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.72144553084572 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 106736542.6052365, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9925859923377383, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.010212836148842 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 139094110.98633304, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.315361160582576, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.13603807014428 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 174340075.63039273, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.33965269566505, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.315122732434343 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 135483724.23693982, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.28767611402772, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.274120589000589 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 239772983.28591564, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.97548885398975, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.903124758439805 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 23663316.381749246, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.13094967687327, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.608322558885 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 55876860.23003891, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.13283670219164, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.564240702265817 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 70426281.86068505, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.038366455716666, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.527067578760864 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 122306219.60404325, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.66559240765453, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.89840123484414 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 60274840.18274419, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.71809072516571, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5576413507165663 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 37477256.02922916, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.82272020032937, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.964059844233194 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 40125436.21629654, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.066099463103748, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.03050045018456 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 64777745.61315419, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.438109392678356, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4306481278691283 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 38621887.332497895, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.377845868326915, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0078752588379203 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 39211566.01534379, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5267992415008758, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7650153518028002 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 43884369.68012841, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.91690141361892, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.173007404321579 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 33914450.95748205, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.718609826953752, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.240081887817038 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 71644072.57049495, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.24939531031734, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.251827304969552 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "export_value_usd": 46550401.065525144, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.0254677109242, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9853648880835184 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "440711", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31693150.9040481, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.895120877195446, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5661569063822804, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87323395.46801649, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.55720550841932, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.406004925956553, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "841199", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of gas turbines (excluding turbo-jets and turbo-propellers)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108545254.89192176, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.45380099645016, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.373624372446621, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38962077.85665327, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.04118214482854, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.388451622970697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255906849.84206384, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.55652484760142, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8404844604133825, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "851770", "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14231485.29030286, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.88862919219254, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9210700290248427, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "730820", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, towers and lattice masts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15327493.364794323, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.67557415647475, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.221297332388858, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "440712", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15277450.726653524, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1816185504704788, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57262934.72337146, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.332599750029907, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0200273296362683, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106797725.84937045, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.92138050315204, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.032503308893379, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "LBY", "distance_km": 2963, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935, "importer_population": 6958.538, "importer_biz_entry_days": 35, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.209979007563632, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }