{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.602Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Sweden exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Sweden to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 47,
    "current_lane_count": 27,
    "current_product_count": 27,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 23858416.3013249,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10253957.160489341,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7173132.502635814,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5796769.395770568,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1931734.2650498743,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 23858416.3013249,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.818386506134557,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.31632678085265,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2727.7031436080706,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.74338786994393,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 84.72175253164161,
    "top_product_hs6": "840890",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 9959311.256287985,
    "top_product_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "040210",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3109.96533203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.28571075201034546,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.562374686767676,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.7843913798101028,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.279278525644441,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.97836466169769,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 84279233.2499058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 78531483.48419347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.819888534900431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 85520076.0105827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.899096535971918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 87006210.03807177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.737760414648326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0671203652591554
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 63390717.28518719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.14230713250355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.890508501823023
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 58051744.081596516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.4223265365042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.114802855764284
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 40599144.04763971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.063868553933084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.436831485164443
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 35142024.88424543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.44146358600764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.851361124074096
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 54248374.53465998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.36894918078594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.233405897981444
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 50173565.100089625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.511394524764814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.313088594369854
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 43020898.11576725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.255847616277117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.975476643842415
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 43890884.42266268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.02224115487859,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.818606522723392
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 48248339.9345112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.927928245616723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2957609423981609
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 64410928.260337874,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.49874492628058,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.400176671866705
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 77334603.5013384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.064413896917088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.781340036781515
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 81330595.97312279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.167146776300768,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.011937763611854
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 107879326.39798118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.64298030427801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.75709240833221
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 98677804.75215985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.529457823898245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.463064817852729
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 102150785.16163908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.5195152731680723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.893658139994675
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 78315896.288101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.33304519962598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.125345847276046
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 77460397.14066885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.092369733323384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.752753159201964
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 93787026.50793359,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.07738918200408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.807291273038115
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 95062514.67798494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3599835899941404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.672660111161988
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 92422227.40489954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7774220806477956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.063406269547489
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 73423172.30281435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.556802876921353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.835545013970313
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 86422270.58777004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.704353921598994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.126395811816174
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 78562217.08585674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.094939821016013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.271840350380397
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 46729307.209254265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.51936294238472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.982780627320935
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 69549312.12468241,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.834460167021,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.9844149190517735
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 43222596.3888527,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.85330858288475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.059418785089587
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "840890",
      "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77432392.01744261,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.791337399421877,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6014977163372552,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "040210",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content not exceeding 1.5% (by weight)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33368899.987581473,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.59140103744707,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1521118350970043,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 399902871.2064962,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.37576888488977,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7520288210369463,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "481092",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: multi-ply, coated with kaolin or other inorganic substances only, for non-graphic purposes, n.e.c. in heading no. 4810, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16456965.160301415,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5709391476033185,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45659334.328976355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.674980468738863,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6989624149412461,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "470321",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of coniferous wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11297225.230376221,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.17005229801589,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8744055573859054,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36854577.51587437,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.64697620166995,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7048472932075378,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36483583.04102972,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.28597385162743,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0898928440849565,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20868609.79108999,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.62414192804563,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5492686291198783,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150262128.03631186,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.8542317215844,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7117399532963431,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SWE",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "distance_km": 3104,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "importer_population": 6769.151,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.562374686767676,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.063669905454544,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.7843913798101028,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.279278525644441
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-LBN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}