{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.584Z", "seo": { "title": "Sweden exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sweden to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SWE", "country_name": "Sweden" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "all_history_lane_count": 215, "current_lane_count": 92, "current_product_count": 92, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 90003816.6806375, "attention_trade_usd": 52878850.89822914, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 23551814.985864606, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11583024.868288068, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 63608750.9831112, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 58, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 67, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 61, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0503128619600706, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.998990218275043, "product_concentration_hhi": 3192.633061734548, "top1_product_share_pct": 55.18575157955984, "top3_product_share_pct": 69.59770101225143, "top_product_hs6": "850239", "top_product_trade_usd": 49669282.68549905, "top_product_description": "Electric generating sets: (excluding those with spark-ignition or compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines), other than wind powered", "top_attention_product_hs6": "850239", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3566.228515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00019999999494757503, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757, "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 58.75178725571196, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757, "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 114236475.08447297, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 183923627.82279846, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.00254116454033, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 192709728.7314747, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.777037628434133, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 147313683.77399626, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.556695998848156, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.846073075811066 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 116334631.48207958, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.0293107186456, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.159844055016645 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 255389437.82521698, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.5300183372805, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.841493846939088 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 285132401.1288604, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.646121138337318, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.623849068879288 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 331131154.8720042, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.13241903095941, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.7197383288145 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 633699846.8400866, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.37427497120818, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.38178107278076 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 936703827.2089307, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.8150629007974, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.656957871041094 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1152930760.5795343, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.083810174544574, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.565745812371276 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 463126423.01565206, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.830508574265465, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.924782555448065 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 604124056.1426743, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.444739518189202, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.601153366223018 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 823866120.3484242, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.37366563563129, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.597196196239933 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 294008448.14001524, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.31356492536977, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.05510539612661 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 812039853.5408074, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.196095274817, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.3613670664765 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 975804219.3558235, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.167035534147782, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.803982727530599 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 684186942.2583799, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.884814116704117, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.517018830456834 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 176619041.95820764, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.18555791561595, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.8613889508263 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 362645623.27459943, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.32645815189632, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.103693038595335 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 273964425.97736484, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.453954937182342, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.293385411638603 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 310575830.4803136, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.363561481509144, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.700770794425093 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 639622414.5025067, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.94726045272553, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.822294221854488 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 359862020.1182539, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.73836626751867, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.516766644788198 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 129209376.61541721, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.0947448210962, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.34788346728102 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 52692338.30876426, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.21941604470443, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.48811155684672 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 45582602.124585494, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.492922144615104, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.778728955766915 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 80686122.49362901, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.0107864248277, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.52582099496179 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 91235356.7136522, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.074409692764899, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.080337799931524 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 96595267.18309586, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.874817244663255, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.44550527010501 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "850239", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: (excluding those with spark-ignition or compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines), other than wind powered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50807963.73836554, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.974983368894877, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "300439", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing hormones (but not insulin), adrenal cortex hormones or antibiotics, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68775211.35647754, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.931491803042924, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2347619051660412, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 279627323.4366926, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.7618376873892, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6592492859240321, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "901819", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: electro-diagnostic apparatus (including apparatus for functional exploratory examination or for checking physiological parameters), n.e.s. in item no. 9018.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40245371.796071544, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0606190703593688, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "901839", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical instruments and appliances: catheters, cannulae and the like", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 199754236.4846921, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5191364460797245, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "870710", "hs_description": "Vehicles: bodies (including cabs) for the motor vehicles of heading no. 8703", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 995995964.1371303, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3892963306057033, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104398113.4196317, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7998780794434296, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "850440", "hs_description": "Electrical static converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122523496.82760988, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.63262532536878, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9715349947421633, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 222252062.86578375, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.26739970690427, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3372545272493936, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118168063.04729581, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.132698629944926, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.616031589246704, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SWE", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "distance_km": 3565, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "importer_population": 85028.763, "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-IRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-IRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-IRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-IRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SWE-IRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }