{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.196Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Slovakia exports to Malawi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Slovakia to Malawi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SVK",
    "country_name": "Slovakia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 689369.300331505,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 227491.01266374093,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 689369.300331505,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 689369.300331505,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9576153897345281,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.65524151635088,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5296.159667019966,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 64.8262455973841,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.99999999999997,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 446892.23570586985,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7109.609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012799999676644802,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.799277123809524,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.799277123809524,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 643,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19647.68,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.4742394112035031,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0937742938528903,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.622931980611698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.302,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.328,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12626.718073999999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 643,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19647.68
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 13459.861696458423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 21644.18954184033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.80543790086177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 14436.254718832559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.30193911430192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 31377.754246603974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.35384182208067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.594981363909014
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 13.652904652754644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.95648858568572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -91.42380640011719
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 2794.3149513873445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20366.81656729769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.15396366143073
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 60068.00215552228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2049.650386607251,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.167263572907483
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 20700.057361651165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.53896147893087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1048.811648645737
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 65535.41315642298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 216.59532150782152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 186.24213492189705
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 135895.43106384142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.36182854219574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.276570515337497
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 415046.69685447495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 205.4162259947451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 171.67007604366398
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1451569.2124507113,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 249.7363606196016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 180.83672653188327
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1122129.609235282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.695411310028422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.12159753612214
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1492455.0009829106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.002015872302024,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.2032909919768
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1639977.8524034237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.884576173040838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.151791576403863
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1387512.7253810863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.394422958355458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.3325179142247565
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 572424.1343431114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.744584905634454,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.343875264156235
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 328735.75110925053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.57129785652851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.47568782745533
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 482228.13767186704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.69172307687506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.691927661645266
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1205283.2144135106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 149.94045769134433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.171182396783422
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 930777.3112523534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.775219954816308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.47062870487366
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 442538.0309360647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.45500448000464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8224339832175094
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 487231.3423401189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.099315376244178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.059559012724208
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 616452.1614832357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.521450472065954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.833181067399103
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1639212.8860310556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 165.9108019164004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.72539025714076
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "export_value_usd": 1670962.502423652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.936881820729841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.80317857026966
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26314591.883898236,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9848882295283017,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27496676.571535252,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.77957080107467,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9343591602861493,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
      "importer_iso3": "MWI",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12162684.184194893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.192563686014342,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4973582667061366,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SVK",
    "importer_iso3": "MWI",
    "distance_km": 7076,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "importer_population": 19647.68,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 32.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 114870.70641,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 21087.846100975406,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.799277123809524,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.799277123809524,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SVK-MWI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SVK-MWI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SVK-MWI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SVK-MWI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SVK-MWI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}