{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.365Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Sao Tome and Principe exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Sao Tome and Principe to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "STP",
    "country_name": "Sao Tome and Principe"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "STP",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 17,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 185089.47873502865,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 82153.56769178355,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 185089.47873502865,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7938461540916353,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.240865270504166,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5063.037005018097,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 55.614134172697426,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "720410",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 102935.9110432451,
    "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of cast iron",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4583.8515625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9577999711036682,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 404921.4098408848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 423222.7577198892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5197283804272015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 901007.986855795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.89214023129843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2057459.7070607352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.35088446225157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.91754450564008
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 4202303.403851468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.24717866552213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 114.93449966434764
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 7305924.448039243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.85523475871028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.90103709638001
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2079036.7501527397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.54313920244945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3483592195404839
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 995185.7589230209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.13236327593016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.13112070247602
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1749465.1127775924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.79282029425787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.90213009108595
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1433502.7531341498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.06051217230592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.655648240690264
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1005615.073224998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.849100671319697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.34811231942928345
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1824878.3272149314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.46887171873468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4167157450693857
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1775987.9194038056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6791050713907416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.402360221195137
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2805335.529313029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.959156065361775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.77245327142904
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2179349.325830981,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.31412952001999,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.095666404683686
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2244945.962255452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0099184030287995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.123964543678586
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 691870.9306256399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.18095391790496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.28856231522787
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 380280.00867135427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.03598983014396,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.1196802863213
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 196387.66993506526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.357088078014776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.608197945708014
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 121004.23378754784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.38501478857742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.07682407568506
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 334592.4406041699,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.51300300089315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.176754417290873
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 307212.29853271105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.183132297316353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.084649229301505
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 406014.43663865014,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.16086679401571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.708676160621536
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 728599.9688953353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.45173943255224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.61571936535059
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 256173.8916084544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.84025493483733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.87635090915819
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 1258667.6117171624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 391.33329076366465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.81085625805592
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2516968.6575443647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.97087667255853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.16905089474106
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 2127466.9740689797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.47503113747134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.50821878588532
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 635115.7552984783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.14685712917273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.387619537325396
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "export_value_usd": 619619.5651548939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.439900130693784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.32671793585388
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "720410",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of cast iron",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31177254.425849985,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.20276564959502,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6558703597478093,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "STP",
      "importer_iso3": "PRT",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12461130.948970063,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2196950664043955,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "STP",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "distance_km": 4548,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "importer_population": 10299.423,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 547.0929150000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2449.3334422735984,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/STP-PRT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/STP-PRT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/STP-PRT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/STP-PRT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/STP-PRT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}