{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.609Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 80,
    "current_lane_count": 46,
    "current_product_count": 46,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 21953204.22417334,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8918167.704622727,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6145134.441501408,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 924785.6615000337,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5389934.541372224,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 21953204.22417334,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 17,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 14,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9904092348503687,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.457086493373508,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 637.5844109857093,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.770537202021703,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 32.71294095872989,
    "top_product_hs6": "999999",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2803542.1124838563,
    "top_product_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "999999",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.926570241481483,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.926570241481483,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 40.623535469153346,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1510231.7078903918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1527697.987244708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1565297737467395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 2457591.2150443206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.868917519275456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1830203.3272915413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.528569760185484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.615067314308454
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 2596615.911215664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.87581633666417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.341108969613497
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 2183007.7151882304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.928739951138693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.87230215298463
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 3992123.74361605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.87263557709544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.688525143403254
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5421526.661712776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.805576427397476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.81190108516627
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5226186.471845289,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.60304766638877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.77548790602039
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 4522772.934845193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.459403731373765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.247807539945425
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 5417466.1881986195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.7819626641073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.024971365029724524
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 6595104.836061276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.737812603759643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.063476239116563
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 9702157.38583019,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.11149598077513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.96974572400719
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 14679186.802138597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.29817233821892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.412568707806784
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 12030717.290936366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.042344898944794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.186513481606607
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 20999259.8012391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.54703068336086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.3536110678013
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 22188731.866203118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.664352344904233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.76518514022831
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 31635813.69820311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.576033136843485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.02650649521328
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 27753679.448386822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.271327321784009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.74182892990212
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 792043907.2825749,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999988926752779,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "481159",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100183440.04026942,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.16609407037891,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8409577766087005,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "850131",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: DC, of an output not exceeding 750W",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68572070.41481416,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9449106575904433,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "870880",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, suspension shock-absorbers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 195198377.16641435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.391757151002099,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "851680",
      "hs_description": "Resistors: electric heating, other than those of heading no. 8545",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22763101.54214702,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.904763929254256,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.849189066643574,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "860791",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway locomotives: parts n.e.c. in heading no. 8607",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11762924.56105975,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.28909369764861054,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 885835733.4782923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.758354630019774,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8510993784875676,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "850110",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors: of an output not exceeding 37.5W",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32306578.430356607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.384850694206804,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2293543419046504,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 353143642.26731193,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6880038165417824,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 77162310.39375946,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6664568061658614,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "distance_km": 7902,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "importer_population": 60041.996,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.926570241481483,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.926570241481483,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ZAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ZAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ZAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ZAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}