{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.357Z", "seo": { "title": "Serbia exports to Vietnam: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Vietnam, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "all_history_lane_count": 68, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2606375.1266090786, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 904210.3752265786, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 508354.7621104265, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1108716.8598499564, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.721022124763238, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.31040698460046, "product_concentration_hhi": 2055.932156969252, "top1_product_share_pct": 34.69225768751736, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.70481440449528, "top_product_hs6": "481159", "top_product_trade_usd": 904210.3752265786, "top_product_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.955454531111112, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.955454531111112, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.336634047306667, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.513364638435548, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.77292592499143, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.64, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.712, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 85420.35070841417, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 875946.0150644123, "yoy_growth_pct": 925.45354567144, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 218647.54964640152, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.0386957773507, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 2180266.6692485865, "yoy_growth_pct": 897.1603490524044, "cagr_3y_pct": 194.43047197161985 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 879938.9592980447, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.640764512475464, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.15171758264089785 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4369679.089450708, "yoy_growth_pct": 396.5888875901733, "cagr_3y_pct": 171.3740459192869 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4440897.20776246, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6298249105680895, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.76140234025135 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 725161.6242663901, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.67083068261871, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.245075407775058 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 7924237.436074989, "yoy_growth_pct": 992.7546592239413, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.94649216000797 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 2421696.6925301217, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.43937240566041, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.301074902514546 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 10935231.68820097, "yoy_growth_pct": 351.5524888782064, "cagr_3y_pct": 147.05731959939138 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 15255150.693551492, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.504595133651186, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.39979768090108 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 19274238.320687592, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.34577466897794, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.65759034141952 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 10977953.84504496, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.04338432267901, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.13005864088284635 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4226259.640078626, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.502300886551794, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.81016365347821 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 3833456.9496972095, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.29433408814676, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.62801593080887 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 6867679.441873463, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.15107778674586, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.474385148454981 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 3839653.7886264506, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.090957926553784, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1472482687000314 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4693868.33138079, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.247176172097415, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.982671229566373 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "481159", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 138327107.30336004, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3333581934531535, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "640610", "hs_description": "Footwear: parts, uppers and parts thereof, other than stiffeners", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 312009270.64965194, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "283526", "hs_description": "Phosphates: of calcium n.e.c. in item no. 2835.25, whether or not chemically defined", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29619509.695469335, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.09071088358009, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8036302368373455, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 158561098.16775405, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.284074188226874, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8551256234775702, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "440890", "hs_description": "Wood: n.e.s. in heading no. 4408, sheets for veneer or plywood, other wood sawn lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, not thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218880994.45250335, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85794867.96118835, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.210653669861497, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1156525656806467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "210220", "hs_description": "Yeasts: inactive, other single-cell micro-organisms, dead", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11497365.437068233, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.3984826829576, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8267821319273019, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "distance_km": 8878, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "importer_population": 98168.831, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.955454531111112, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.955454531111112, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-VNM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-VNM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-VNM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-VNM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-VNM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }