{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.619Z", "seo": { "title": "Serbia exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUN", "country_name": "Tunisia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "all_history_lane_count": 31, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 37237035.213047124, "attention_trade_usd": 30691665.11571428, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6474689.719941139, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5602844.183583374, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30726329.891788542, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6306019986988813, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.47543659211779, "product_concentration_hhi": 4795.855700552801, "top1_product_share_pct": 67.45241389749269, "top3_product_share_pct": 85.73232176024725, "top_product_hs6": "240220", "top_product_trade_usd": 25117279.115059648, "top_product_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240220", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.689281622222225, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.689281622222225, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 82.42241880997155, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 512977.6012294984, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 2798582.706020513, "yoy_growth_pct": 445.5565114954151, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 3138671.770453862, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.152189167099635, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 3056062.4557511318, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6319832319001812, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.28196819164737 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 3224482.1057751817, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.511001573515117, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.835235479207278 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10583229.969529867, "yoy_growth_pct": 228.21487675725854, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.95378903218284 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 16009092.125489086, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.2684895970398, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.67400766592378 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 20493839.774481475, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.013753770908334, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.23417770875463 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 17200357.75575032, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.0705951396777, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.572679400552047 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 18301011.57037646, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.3990169870633995, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.560936398950455 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 44730889.77566511, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.4175809826286, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.716354091601495 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 47135934.695834324, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.376698143567049, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.93882224625991 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 47628824.083638445, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0456764907383453, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.55137029853586 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 52093948.516865194, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.37483660185643, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.210700729579032 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 7631962.52225675, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.34961787397258, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.49604276308643 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 38093859.76403483, "yoy_growth_pct": 399.1358337117539, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.175694949461942 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 41705485.2507723, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.480859931519126, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.145711320317094 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 44419275.08936901, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.507033360908943, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.87815009941717 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 43246293.25492335, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.640704586208764, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.319293406517599 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79600812.10447069, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.60554129243151, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5028990504144419, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "721012", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, plated or coated with tin, thickness of less than 0.5mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29344938.726825655, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.07227051644373, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1570522746833507, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "100390", "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 291871997.4083374, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.819912239514927, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.0858937164808378, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 134113062.12292667, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.641898096103994, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5658559879107055, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 311029879.9038338, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.8916186920505, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7919490362767109, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "401699", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), articles n.e.s. in heading no. 4016, of non-cellular rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33083103.312576026, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.489614851350704, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "391739", "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, n.e.s. in item no. 3917.30", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29715033.154350143, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9389997098511529, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "580620", "hs_description": "Fabrics: narrow (excluding pile fabrics), containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn or rubber thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13176749.071229942, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8693236818507281, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "481092", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: multi-ply, coated with kaolin or other inorganic substances only, for non-graphic purposes, n.e.c. in heading no. 4810, in rolls or sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20097241.89469204, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.80057747588917, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7876523932341262, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "640620", "hs_description": "Footwear: parts, outer soles and heels, of rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18363382.88639246, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.15924606416729448, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "distance_km": 1241, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344, "importer_population": 11935.764, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.689281622222225, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.689281622222225, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-TUN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-TUN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-TUN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-TUN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-TUN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }