{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.540Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 224,
    "current_lane_count": 166,
    "current_product_count": 166,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 522290667.1696219,
    "attention_trade_usd": 149504757.43784449,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 216884059.7655533,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27203163.630209588,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 141716542.4518637,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 8,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 91,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 50,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1542208689608984,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.240169282847795,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1850.9839311090848,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 34.36980156651093,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.70678627712077,
    "top_product_hs6": "854430",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 179510265.90660506,
    "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "850152",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 28.624818867247832,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 32050844.742631763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 53759078.27429981,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.73061273730889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 52104877.201990336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.077063680052494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 34544282.81697376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.70240048151536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5287273633416207
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 42913991.9196553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.228927105034526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.235380602064579
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 51298077.9047438,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.536951959131187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5188251943014865
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 48933008.03897537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.610445385809891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.307452910485495
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 56192596.768104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.835770413595517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.40236968023964
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 63030975.901188865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.169537494957794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.106948459252971
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 67650053.98150873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.328266799424155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.400911562773274
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 84771756.2812205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.309221932611848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.689596877443467
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 168029774.01054475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.21433621491266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.65772510944316
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 207585581.96891674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.540951710075888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.31474344435684
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 221595109.31550744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.748795948982833,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.75361249613005
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 285492610.5409459,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.835248856716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.326309622017313
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 347574274.30242133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.745453811867254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.745404959591095
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 362190376.9513922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.205173895077596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.794653427732655
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 480520738.7275778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.67076358355765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.952184325755074
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 539150501.2703302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.201297013320268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.758830247190382
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "854430",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 579240971.7138536,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7026479785016858,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "850152",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors: AC motors, multi-phase, of an output exceeding 750W but not exceeding 75kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 261460243.01011103,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9086359108379594,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "260300",
      "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 792024403.00821,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7493252932159203,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "840999",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 886743739.4730647,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.280308007170657,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.180058977143864,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "081120",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: raspberries, blackberries, mulberries, loganberries, black, white or red currants and gooseberries, uncooked or cooked, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27424911.13758412,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.268559404362716,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.42314746648848156,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "940190",
      "hs_description": "Seat: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 320226903.0982151,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.078418884165588,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9846416320331968,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 279207820.72474873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.713578566630534,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "854442",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 389149951.70194614,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7768806130504406,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "903180",
      "hs_description": "Instruments, appliances and machines: for measuring or checking n.e.c. in chapter 90",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 243909626.61035195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.778477415524254,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 522926277.8556784,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.83046340599891,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39252899208264713,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 1623,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}