{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.538Z", "seo": { "title": "Serbia exports to Slovenia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Slovenia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SVN", "country_name": "Slovenia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "all_history_lane_count": 468, "current_lane_count": 439, "current_product_count": 439, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 648401264.8273977, "attention_trade_usd": 161089385.18311894, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 229626412.88862693, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 123169925.07194355, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 167929869.36126983, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 27, "high_volatility_lane_count": 201, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 214, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 122, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8571645249499708, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.957947844146823, "product_concentration_hhi": 295.2725216942003, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.432217638768659, "top3_product_share_pct": 23.55656486196154, "top_product_hs6": "901890", "top_product_trade_usd": 80610656.41587083, "top_product_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "top_attention_product_hs6": "760612", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.458657566666668, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.458657566666668, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.242315191123926, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.8497430628929425, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3708767889949005, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.509999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.077999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.84408867185051, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 287498650.82918733, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 452137124.38563573, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.26582475486666, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 536143966.91006523, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.579947983386248, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 357653414.25495505, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.291534302586086, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.549613689395929 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 452589406.70556897, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.54413145988823, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.03333292564833279 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 559751297.4953005, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.677507516088525, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4466932109511221 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 446206757.70541215, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.284819400680654, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.652616377647026 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 513803340.1432381, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.149161519972676, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.319183575540686 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 514605426.9292575, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.1561077407157052, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.764149406001426 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 426051993.4589982, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.208025573821374, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.52889317515581 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 475932669.22874016, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.70764989614872, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5198479570088916 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 571985330.4223236, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.181985268890855, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5865835538793522 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 706634548.6411252, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.540676842076323, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.370665272863373 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 656123556.7395966, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.148106754568174, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.296123488166977 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 603829970.1193895, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.970082171727522, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8223832772191306 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 851717814.4001422, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.05259038926805, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.422540302118684 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 802434165.9851955, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.786382247934629, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9402661023023615 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 801229001.0654472, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.15018863488553968, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.887256809181011 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "export_value_usd": 796717010.4393393, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5631337133463754, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.200615945415063 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 257510480.1196938, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3970652640015366, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "760612", "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 289750979.99687004, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.553143769356566, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2850360979305095, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "841490", "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: parts, of air or vacuum pumps, air or other gas compressors and fans, ventilating or recycling hoods incorporating a fan", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96887703.52747877, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49161612589898446, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "860719", "hs_description": "Railway or tramway locomotives or rolling stock: parts, axles and wheels, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33940837.68727448, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34666938531824476, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "846799", "hs_description": "Tools: for working in the hand, parts thereof for other than chain saws and pneumatic tools", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23461578.624685638, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.0960029237593, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5432737067558403, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 116311484.72015402, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.56783334922431, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9842449211626981, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 112859121.38514349, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.475701867796485, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.395189652113109, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "850423", "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 10,000kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14244150.445417034, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6984635179548948, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 262804185.38554043, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.74774002847396, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4096424716866964, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "hs_code": "850990", "hs_description": "Electro-mechanical domestic appliances: parts for the appliances of heading no. 8509, with a self-contained electric motor", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37296223.854882844, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.787771091266833, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4466517266988948, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "distance_km": 486, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 61526.331889, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 29200.81987814943, "importer_population": 2107.007, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.458657566666668, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.458657566666668, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SVN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SVN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SVN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SVN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-SVN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }