{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.913Z", "seo": { "title": "Serbia exports to Romania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Romania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "all_history_lane_count": 545, "current_lane_count": 450, "current_product_count": 450, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1251334430.7638533, "attention_trade_usd": 482998671.9766241, "critical_trade_usd": 260011186.32471055, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 680251908.9393138, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 401518731.5947701, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 507096399.74708563, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 34, "high_volatility_lane_count": 260, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 165, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 111, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2026495767572218, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.80940940360921, "product_concentration_hhi": 595.3060806447036, "top1_product_share_pct": 20.7787127032053, "top3_product_share_pct": 34.1365589445357, "top_product_hs6": "271600", "top_product_trade_usd": 260011186.32471055, "top_product_description": "Electrical energy", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271600", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.686238000000003, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.686238000000003, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.87418786627483, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.237316107837202, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.33242142383276274, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 38.5986879368281, "critical_trade_share_pct": 20.7787127032053, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 170270207.91673654, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 295437102.2678212, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.51074264987815, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 367054435.3447784, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.24114389398333, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 336406574.3530558, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.349677334081186, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.48021940756795 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 382910622.69632393, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.823763234324481, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.02952664170298 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 532913999.05425644, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.17451422518934, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.233661512386474 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 480628337.89885545, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.81127559947581, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.628499844667896 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 482104873.70089275, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3072094767637257, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.981171712745905 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 524397576.94820726, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.772511035338294, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5355583209936343 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 436150052.2317574, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.82836240968476, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1851035731178645 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 543528369.9956515, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.619581544114165, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.078310052146628 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 672134196.2905289, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.661290448538374, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.625495816087202 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 985292692.5712246, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.59166249969127, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.212872866794704 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 881391121.1624857, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.545249365200993, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.484926974273773 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 963272516.7823802, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.290018205754036, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.745112936357984 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1076340213.5160162, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.7378721767456, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9899312374492615 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1218574557.2535594, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.214626932214557, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.402382337371343 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1452608097.1415713, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.205516682990663, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.674387821904023 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "export_value_usd": 1329830985.168188, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.452184193037537, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.303929722101121 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1486969132.6831002, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.04266679130321, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8104719765021804, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 173492351.47101656, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.244831078725692, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8542689915983861, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "854430", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: ignition wiring sets and other wiring sets of a kind used in vehicles, aircraft or ships", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 653663929.5026749, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.842278112691503, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9128742290611029, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "420500", "hs_description": "Leather articles: n.e.c. in chapter 42, of leather or composition leather", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 193742555.48018777, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.125747482581113, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2077265636903098, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 245276094.36969125, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.144743635300037, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9189506653193498, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 600932329.8348022, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4722777946656429, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "401120", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 203504618.54178318, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8869170798148731, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1104739953.2132628, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9984682728651812, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "340220", "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327529910.5387213, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.84588054440174, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.33308858937874547, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "hs_code": "761699", "hs_description": "Aluminium: n.e.c. in heading no. 7616", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 294573633.0241573, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5792101404039496, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "distance_km": 450, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "importer_population": 19115.147, "importer_biz_entry_days": 20, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.686238000000003, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.686238000000003, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ROU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ROU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ROU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ROU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-ROU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }