{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.338Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to Qatar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Qatar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "QAT",
    "country_name": "Qatar"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "QAT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 46,
    "current_lane_count": 18,
    "current_product_count": 18,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5235629.700655343,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 147961.96137991833,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 917713.5118503461,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 283296.24375946954,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8385924680837565,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.897911476915436,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3044.722680778893,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 51.34834367998835,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 74.67017507011361,
    "top_product_hs6": "080810",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2688409.1325040506,
    "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.193152612592592,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.193152612592592,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.440190925663856,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.786767897716258,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6085952129489378,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.638,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 64.674,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 177140.3390006875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 72823.27114538253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.88950447074628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 312466.8667714845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 329.07557138937574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 244307.09411146902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.81344005022541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.311371929848747
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 1323021.0658388138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 441.540175347984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 162.88482995202708
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 284361.3561210298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.50666452232635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0929139565602837
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 200703.3507819142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.41961118778359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.34315686730006
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 1581294.984473551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 687.876723688484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.124431810074804
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 1682940.0532690834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.427963776118117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.88366819678636
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 2174548.728583545,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.211300447661202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 121.27796747591178
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 2985140.1369463988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.276304628540366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.59017394005751
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 10192469.173576046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 241.44022410962148,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.27911864551913
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 7908006.620917064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.413239753341085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.77980058851144
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 9717445.982438795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.881105798971845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.20486852514345
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 7941852.988636392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.272218821810014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.980300156077846
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 9532944.622286657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.034261977990276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4273745353654155
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 9625876.408975301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9748486996492556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.31509896557042616
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 9525888.686363852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0387388988104984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.24974251057806
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "export_value_usd": 7482042.710582317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.45569870774645,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.757505796810859
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26665233.5555922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9687726671632814,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324243190.39914906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.17479119373027,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6331290276484259,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "851610",
      "hs_description": "Heaters: electric, instantaneous or storage water and immersion heaters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13535951.757690195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.77319455122983,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9872462817996772,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "220110",
      "hs_description": "Waters: mineral and aerated, including natural or artificial, (not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter nor flavoured)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17473455.643669322,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.266804227643824,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5103545590743932,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "340290",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), including auxiliary washing preparations, not for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25901360.374545105,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6008403615706926,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "940510",
      "hs_description": "Chandeliers and other electric ceiling or wall light fittings: excluding those used for lighting public open spaces or thoroughfares",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47984689.03923279,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.71525609412403,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9596376120829329,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "392490",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: household articles and hygienic or toilet articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16090233.198057752,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7988281031871879,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94283423.27552202,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.23059724005153,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "340220",
      "hs_description": "Washing and cleaning preparations: surface-active, whether or not containing soap (excluding those of heading no. 3401), put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53177030.975404575,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.723040935091856,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6049633955293027,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "QAT",
      "hs_code": "850153",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors: AC motors, multi-phase, of an output exceeding 75kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21174380.958986573,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "QAT",
    "distance_km": 3523,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276,
    "importer_population": 2930.524,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.193152612592592,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.193152612592592,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-QAT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-QAT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-QAT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-QAT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-QAT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}