{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.261Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 12,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2863251.86604066,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2107267.386868238,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 199410.03192691732,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2763975.1264381036,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.2531116789299857,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.9783645483178507,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5637.677501098805,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 73.59699689228503,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.57363820574568,
    "top_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2107267.386868238,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.06805532,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.950118605925928,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 24.43178941916667,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -12.48167081324074,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 73.59699689228503,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 337779.87327240553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1282802.8818918972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 279.77481294670554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 102070.31795209795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.04317986863553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 169224.25550158208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.7918373302215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.577610720065987
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2450.711679350653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.55179644780429,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -87.59174344249148
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 13581.021695367786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 454.166441111761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.94820792156217
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 37848.182556243046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 178.68435383732805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.29923852254073
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 77013.25673099504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.47940516444095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 215.56664280918508
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 369848.05085243395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 380.2394633748602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 200.85943142249744
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 405147.2328212834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.544239015858302,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 120.3886793182765
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 870867.9930415569,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.95099126734259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 124.4548255280645
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1331962.2654723038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.94651728103459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.28142494111727
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1671658.120328884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.503414298011418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.390335231114854
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 761193.607017794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.464755815738464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.38758944817943
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 2371182.9193417705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 211.508517344437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.196769953109218
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1428699.9844316728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.74737365144847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.100368532637722
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 659293.7248827609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.85359193203718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.677680115880756
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 1030559.8218625453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.31269993443438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.252311777834933
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 5225507.778524799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 407.0552594492443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.073927336099125
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69188088.41350225,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18341136.33145346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.0955881122331,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4058990000497065,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "847330",
      "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37132463.49400521,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1192699969526756,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "853690",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19874779.715639777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2186971227441987,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "481159",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20545560.299801234,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7411040962209369,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18881864.212204233,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.991034983994585,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "391910",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil, tape, strip, other flat shapes thereof, self-adhesive, in rolls of a width not exceeding 20cm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11769063.99612737,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 7078,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.06805532,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.950118605925928,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 24.43178941916667,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -12.48167081324074
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}