{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.164Z", "seo": { "title": "Serbia exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1387531.8559833122, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1374110.168665232, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 419855.71050254465, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.8233486473389107, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.8709623042836565, "product_concentration_hhi": 5356.910461007578, "top1_product_share_pct": 69.74082370130503, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.40560928555136, "top_product_hs6": "210390", "top_product_trade_usd": 967676.1454807675, "top_product_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.45747692148148, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.45747692148148, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 907687.6425559153, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 265018.6266489793, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.80288259706546, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 865678.1537007336, "yoy_growth_pct": 226.6480415534474, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1020490.5803984252, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.883369937877692, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.981846614688722 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1971434.2341072902, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.18495162763702, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.20995660748363 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1035165.5061577589, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.49175558339104, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.141310324920113 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3763411.2975239763, "yoy_growth_pct": 263.55648204437307, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.498486019406165 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8042157.086655523, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.6932811980083, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.78282157418737 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 19185538.791036107, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.56209950028173, "cagr_3y_pct": 164.63954186200036 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 20187222.176199384, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.221033383911466, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.05114648852044 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9671876.961274054, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.08911420870406, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.343937640177688 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 6745756.065673084, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.253909425410207, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.41936778661939 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9936883.648555685, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.30570675570662, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.04289543274096 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2836216.9326150073, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.45768197630805, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.563069239472846 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4896115.6936087385, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.62839232450719, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.131599313008499 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9930250.220310457, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.81894550149514, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.022256826484690073 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9289753.719022531, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.449953295012756, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.50973336414051 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2828693.592953304, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.55039198551607, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.71283519604905 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 3804297.790577086, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.48956790704223, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.371885254056195 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "210390", "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10814277.451032193, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.099884442114592, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65782985.67033665, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.1831964232375, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.106401594692196, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "841869", "hs_description": "Refrigerating or freezing equipment: heat pumps, other than compression type units whose condensers are heat exchangers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10474777.296095947, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5841188012596998, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15929308.651505165, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.08366311269657, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1939393248474464, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10799496.262692153, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.22782139072230745, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": 5357, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "importer_population": 54985.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 23, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.45747692148148, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.45747692148148, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }