{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.645Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IDN",
    "country_name": "Indonesia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 41,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 7391716.668878267,
    "attention_trade_usd": 4696630.8572603855,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6200959.950347796,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 879783.3958256238,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2107951.1264156187,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2574717334645578,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.275122695963653,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4329.655398411028,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 63.53910827013781,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 84.76749225914688,
    "top_product_hs6": "930190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4696630.8572603855,
    "top_product_description": "Military weapons: other than revolvers, pistols and arms of heading 9307: other weapons not elsewhere included in heading 9301",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "930190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.114057816296297,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.114057816296297,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 63.53910827013781,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 657648.7651714998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2726368.0425069043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 314.56293798345837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 1405772.6536554901,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.437898635179224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3190662.2580145495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.96858199067505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.2890789163217
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 711700.1160343237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.69428229996387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.08970070337485
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 5641225.040623682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 692.6407363901031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.91056730669093
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 2985629.7042214856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.074798776483476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.189599786796359
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 4488711.078502774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.343864550785696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.76010707075704
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 5060369.748320335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.735474834977323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5572448711779225
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 6953945.54680107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.41971224749459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.555712234713454
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 14971421.454248596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.29391269299913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.41027367957482
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 10513803.56313249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.774179457429696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.60250569188123
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 30891729.240273576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 193.8206811148531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.38807556765394
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7891763.671490727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.45347390523472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.22003170620944
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 11737753.928872094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.73422998302828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7389180187721083
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 11261489.67605472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.057541636188811,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.56387731690473
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 3585424.550494413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.16207576766604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.124343270353563
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7208339.789510593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.04564154101632,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.000425848527444
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "export_value_usd": 9539066.958021238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.33375834893724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.382816073920315
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "930190",
      "hs_description": "Military weapons: other than revolvers, pistols and arms of heading 9307: other weapons not elsewhere included in heading 9301",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48528828.77160235,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3829722232276729,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "930110",
      "hs_description": "Military weapons: artillery weapons (e.g. guns, howitzers, and mortars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15251631.379603762,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.34970248886695,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.088524800686622,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145566055.9852443,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.458065914136743,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8530642416930787,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "850300",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 208461299.76574922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.408626791110288,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "481159",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: coated, impregnated or covered with plastics (excluding adhesives), other than bleached and weighing more than 150g/m2, other than goods of heading no. 4803, 4809, or 4810",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202301620.3807214,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9852992052897572,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "902519",
      "hs_description": "Thermometers and pyrometers: (other than liquid filled, for direct reading), not combined with other instruments",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41586313.20757371,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0927220867324263,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "070959",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: truffles and mushrooms (other than of the genus Agaricus), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26868872.525701135,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.16704231472205816,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "848320",
      "hs_description": "Bearing housings, incorporating ball or roller bearings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18675190.56885093,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.87908647254533,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7855795589880827,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "701399",
      "hs_description": "Glassware: n.e.s. in heading no. 7013, other than of lead crystal",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23998639.549609423,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.310748063002084,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5985602337469486,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "IDN",
      "hs_code": "610510",
      "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13829865.592031542,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6332697424815241,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "IDN",
    "distance_km": 10208,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495,
    "importer_population": 276361.786,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.114057816296297,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.114057816296297,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-IDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-IDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-IDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-IDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-IDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}