{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.432Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia exports to Honduras: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Serbia to Honduras, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HND",
    "country_name": "Honduras"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "HND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2023,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 17626.034534318598,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 17626.034534318598,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.787547369534487,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 56.69527100942642,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "847490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17626.034534318598,
    "top_product_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.43029308,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.43029308,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.313320948476278,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.487754088318409,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7143444105730765,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.909999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.446000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 71751.34843156204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 6668.832479203899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.705634632686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 16531.661579882588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 147.894389781644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 5.229255842221482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.9683682380204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -95.82294743062928
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 6536.990927212979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124908.05323833511,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6633847330857923
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 8108.871214777415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.045930383975623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.135546364625334
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 24803.998865153957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 205.88719697449056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1580.1985445655887
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 10292.660222558286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.50402881199132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.336658269286275
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 34258.45076924187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 232.84350234507966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.65994951015317
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 67844.80208254907,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98.03814988464656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.85080128120045
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 139150.83624686592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.10169088201687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 138.2243010830619
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 231650.95220980857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.47471079429177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.09880749614499
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 169160.61092829469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.976077881568894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.60037431034333
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 194421.0914396364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.932838308351437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.79417758411101
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 148827.00936127384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.45120158556385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.712234696613091
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 881964.3753075121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 492.610426758335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.40060141982975
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 2391478.0657834997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 171.15358995647298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.83819780630748
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "export_value_usd": 381630.2568497583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.04207580617187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.87380744386732
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "HND",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17226704.785209563,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.69527100942642,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.787547369534487,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "HND",
    "distance_km": 10259,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843,
    "importer_population": 10062.994,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 42,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 28.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.43029308,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.43029308,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-HND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-HND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-HND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-HND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SRB-HND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}