{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.533Z", "seo": { "title": "El Salvador exports to Nicaragua: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from El Salvador to Nicaragua, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SLV", "country_name": "El Salvador" }, "importer": { "iso3": "NIC", "country_name": "Nicaragua" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "all_history_lane_count": 101, "current_lane_count": 89, "current_product_count": 89, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 339554762.1473015, "attention_trade_usd": 188576338.5021572, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 90154830.75689204, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 17200999.04388831, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 229361638.68652728, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 27, "high_volatility_lane_count": 40, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 33, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 65, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8955570603185452, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.650655029142206, "product_concentration_hhi": 398.55272199520397, "top1_product_share_pct": 10.141745716692087, "top3_product_share_pct": 23.34139595331881, "top_product_hs6": "481810", "top_product_trade_usd": 34436780.54589795, "top_product_description": "Paper: toilet paper", "top_attention_product_hs6": "481810", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 356.5572814941406, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9700000286102295, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.309576706547475, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.614945788686871, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.1229501110565657, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.491995677630303, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 14, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14013.022092000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2091, "buyer_population_latest": 6702.379, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.172346628065231, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.77149231502996, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2998375386140015, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.536, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 13.639999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 55.53635511091767, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14013.022092000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2091, "buyer_population_2024": 6702.379 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 62535758.84221216, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 49659752.948986925, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.589829133941564, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 31291894.07491871, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.987414925194315, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 75121303.48820613, "yoy_growth_pct": 140.06633573650586, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.3028472532376645 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 97363762.29179506, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.60872318606791, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.15962816571815 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 113844077.37892374, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.926538887987785, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.801131350641555 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 117786214.58158556, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.462751241367279, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.174403120193446 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 110801501.89398165, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.929991648357024, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.4037504568036345 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 93004463.28383455, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.06209149328668, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.517328198653816 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 131669169.03277627, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.57295723641059, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.783873732260745 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 146857486.2318897, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.53521155383963, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.845806276670155 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 142323184.1380702, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0875525723351838, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.236648839216338 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 195964218.4154805, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.68959681605506, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.173214425289027 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 244886606.44232833, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.96495963519385, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.583149549254596 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 191240305.29094592, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.90658849446563, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.348878989178335 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 220950656.3347873, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.53561159539103, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.081331329679894 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 266951283.52370256, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.819411877742745, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9174443979605114 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 299835331.2428856, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.318370335261285, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.17190905108794 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 309173591.95372874, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.114463086165964, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.849925339543542 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 314535088.0340673, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.734137785332246, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.619886306509869 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 335568047.45714146, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.686999391557902, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.824360480606681 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 363119182.43327147, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.210297489557261, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.507241080732994 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 400939522.71046, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.415406871031552, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.426787254701317 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 376488744.0388327, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.09837077331099, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.909949049177941 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 351794904.2049732, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.558984889947328, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0505349071946335 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 325516285.79784864, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.469868975649896, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.710818184959788 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 427261476.5875111, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.256559265623984, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.3071101864506245 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 449231996.3388079, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.142171938077067, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.49099999730598 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 415759505.92722297, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.451047717968018, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.498355434258231 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "export_value_usd": 459319012.1887593, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.477092078602123, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.44094160272168 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "481810", "hs_description": "Paper: toilet paper", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58458478.560964786, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7322723480264904, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "600622", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 308130645.67788875, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5245948964537464, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "392321", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39703366.91417384, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.571140377077416, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7924284597983047, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 283798827.2239255, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.962933230530034, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5442966181255153, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "392330", "hs_description": "Plastics: carboys, bottles, flasks and similar articles, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59191909.62532005, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.24686145359897124, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6988454659362061, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63278263.70093453, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7977666943218027, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "481910", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: cartons, boxes and cases, of corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32634317.936945487, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0279445683143187, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52502920.52722173, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9362307459698274, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "170490", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31122950.707041234, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.999021008695138, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7492011788916675, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 505732176.04910177, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.714967873503085, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8176222625199501, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SLV", "importer_iso3": "NIC", "distance_km": 362, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14013.022092, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2090.7534611217898, "importer_population": 6702.379, "importer_biz_entry_days": 14, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 65.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 28736.940000000002, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4408.520365114674, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.309576706547475, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.614945788686871, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.1229501110565657, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.491995677630303 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SLV-NIC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SLV-NIC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SLV-NIC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SLV-NIC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SLV-NIC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }