{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.915Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Singapore exports to New Caledonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Singapore to New Caledonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SGP",
    "country_name": "Singapore"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NCL",
    "country_name": "New Caledonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 8,
    "current_product_count": 8,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2020,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 297100265.316,
    "attention_trade_usd": 295126599.54,
    "critical_trade_usd": 242929304.176,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1092664.704,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 243674944.907,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 297100265.316,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 297100265.316,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6716024028725989,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 47.51569497352899,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6994.636713881639,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 81.76677456602638,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.66803534626568,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 242929304.176,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7271.89013671875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34695,
    "buyer_population_latest": 272.62,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0373796350958373,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.6497579926365367,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290465692878167,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.33569033541563,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 81.76677456602638,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 9435.529927,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 34695,
    "buyer_population_2024": 272.62
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 52680584.542185985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 56186745.90379378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.655509600126219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 48300500.4003127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.035775478053791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 41110825.737864904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.885300572168092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.933449493683009
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 45297756.99651109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.184498081705605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.929023096971965
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 70813465.85015799,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.32885720061629,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.602548322026987
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 73496374.57835658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7886985137482787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.36773272360577
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 99232318.00623669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.01661622838592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.87497577640834
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 137455690.55718407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.51907656590776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.74283916092357
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 178985419.02327812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.21317509500774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.53973832832025
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 264586933.98582387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.82597120462242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.66656339743946
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 273715737.0371007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4502093182598115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.809184669324093
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 326714988.427941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.362880616417243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.212924107947618
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 505281464.18014586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.6551220718142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.066631512615942
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 304652623.2041858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.70635283475008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.633870438424336
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 400400307.34068745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.42847848460153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.014291652784599
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 546871016.2153713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.58106804350094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.671643337509022
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 600369740.9012672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.782695205925274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.37317506176087
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 580714911.6695977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.273787450074328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.19385704659084
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 492926856.73807526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.11723793679164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4025063742835093
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 168858340.43900546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.74373294317557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.480902417411194
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 239031777.5372261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.557578332098146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.612912608480485
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 270050951.01758426,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.977008245494615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.17467417086025
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 344077080.277677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.4119120784998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.77814974731245
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 320729514.5936784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.7855626027623295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.296338466096632
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 206532413.95184532,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.60542308883098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.550604995886324
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 203430963.49308816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5016773393644156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.069378847895166
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 368028675.1402495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.91084504584465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.692180137172475
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 418420442.4792578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.692348108419772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.534287636309205
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "export_value_usd": 321015725.95367885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.279148587585464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.422365029646024
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 267477150.36871594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.57163534555026,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6773545874886738,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52889558.00197874,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.143869083033184,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6257506623313893,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11158471.897482399,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.54139690778047,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7459743450932008,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18743685.65792763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.95823728033436,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5466195525931267,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12058074.651229406,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.95103756272768,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36424435019757634,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19945918.184418604,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2354693934261511,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "901890",
      "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10293886.434990726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.781059522368274,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8031348230990578,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
      "importer_iso3": "NCL",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16937666.645999998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.51808510220401,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1163910816533167,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SGP",
    "importer_iso3": "NCL",
    "distance_km": 7270,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484,
    "importer_population": 272.62,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-NCL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-NCL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-NCL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-NCL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-NCL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}