{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.231Z", "seo": { "title": "Singapore exports to Saint Lucia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Singapore to Saint Lucia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SGP", "country_name": "Singapore" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LCA", "country_name": "Saint Lucia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "all_history_lane_count": 2, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 301805.4059470177, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 21696.83838833779, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 21696.83838833779, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 280108.5675586799, "access_friction_trade_usd": 301805.4059470177, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8079165439699316, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.7732670676141655, "product_concentration_hhi": 8665.560732398897, "top1_product_share_pct": 92.8109841769545, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "870323", "top_product_trade_usd": 280108.5675586799, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 17647.09375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.3052999973297119, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9571, "buyer_population_latest": 184.401, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9980096230490147, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7558440232372314, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.23339947941394268, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.584000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.212, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1764.9011329999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9571, "buyer_population_2024": 184.401 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 118036.19050483296, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 112326.43074492589, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.837295862808522, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 117036.30563067095, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.193024610957652, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 220464.7521797645, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.37295913584333, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.151959565127143 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 158155.96755003053, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.262470083620485, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.08165662850802 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 118460.15644532177, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.099154789813117, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4038961477922376 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 109785.82740191223, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.322570983952225, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.737267837261165 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 172975.45195173, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.55717841291885, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0306161133188736 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 110924.09029865892, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.87292933935328, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1671906984501277 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 72516.48413210717, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.62512612286539, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.910963298692213 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 164067.7721352608, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.24893374087156, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7468983718340936 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 70126.92823131305, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.2573410861586, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.173846954119618 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 86169.62148984816, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.876651898423983, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.918660992058666 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 159755.33077702616, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.39634736105613, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.883940899502933 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 401867.7133292986, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.55198976752376, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.95043836520423 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 545877.9785657669, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.83524141399819, "cagr_3y_pct": 85.03212214146076 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 159836.3206947225, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.71940489069105, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.016895885910783726 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 179338.90865235808, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.201599656991814, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.581741619593622 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 688553.4297243266, "yoy_growth_pct": 283.93979025436266, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.047326121899312 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 137822.25241783683, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.98379697665348, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.819505573266813 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 238222.2141679934, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.84742484528057, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.926544957574656 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 783488.5218086406, "yoy_growth_pct": 228.88978240128668, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.3994788772510285 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 377939.79783305665, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.76192282171497, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.96982760974965 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 351779.6479275492, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.921776974930516, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.875286948337063 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 381951.9513745864, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.577046348415053, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.296865084342485 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 374313.76691936265, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.999776261840025, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.32083499662518555 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 535088.1686017344, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.95177358972397, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.005394697744133 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 505372.3536633165, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.553442718808343, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.782786296056356 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 396055.9531913041, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.630862804347217, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8998586924207528 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "export_value_usd": 583378.4444722505, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.296976543732285, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9220299427918706 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18852780.988207735, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7765683129936931, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10151019.426210878, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.30677925491653, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.212625650296346, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SGP", "importer_iso3": "LCA", "distance_km": 17642, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1764.9011329999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9570.995455556098, "importer_population": 184.401, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.073650950108934, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-LCA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-LCA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-LCA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-LCA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SGP-LCA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }