{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.570Z", "seo": { "title": "Senegal exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Senegal to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SEN", "country_name": "Senegal" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GIN", "country_name": "Guinea" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "all_history_lane_count": 83, "current_lane_count": 50, "current_product_count": 50, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 124633421.5449985, "attention_trade_usd": 77539595.5419985, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 95206902.07299848, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 16901541.744999953, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 92151620.2399985, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 13, "high_volatility_lane_count": 41, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 29, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 45, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.448200341724578, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.339804379242207, "product_concentration_hhi": 1291.9847532160063, "top1_product_share_pct": 25.142684014083788, "top3_product_share_pct": 55.672331046410605, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 31336187.354999997, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030389", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 599.8919677734375, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.19963176548480988, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174, "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 62.21412730292659, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174, "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 5851126.443235443, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 12087887.690974873, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.59077885677593, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 8166700.889141641, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.438974468309226, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 6372506.257812155, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.96963811561934, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.886153047904383 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 7023670.444943625, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.21833735091584, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.554183230662524 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 8119073.996458221, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.5958848026986, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.194773787708713 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 12570005.20282587, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.82067546507492, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.41276096064955 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 10083299.117505923, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.78285645228619, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.809630014266894 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 19266327.472273614, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.07166461842588, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.38207808264482 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 17427833.411312815, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.542524716278166, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.507132447607638 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 44326478.24406114, "yoy_growth_pct": 154.3430224395408, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.81494703518307 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 20098231.148662414, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.658633068023676, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4190721428263497 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 30391778.583545387, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.216185935686354, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.36611378753119 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 60002795.75803301, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.43101113048883, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.620619467998683 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 49216648.73298485, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.976074095854344, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.78805316187768 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 79024519.52600384, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.564608847578526, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.51030620357856 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 135853355.2286631, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.91291518572174, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.31055215334748 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 91264143.1953093, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.821575851625425, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.855908420227976 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 90919395.62621036, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3777470066871236, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.784784699838918 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 62444859.86715425, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.318439330724544, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.82521252923997 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 72422667.19589831, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.978588710057062, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.418379527552521 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 46081107.08586435, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.371982874894485, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.2699344041691 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 64367486.07014685, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.683028774045994, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0159496022531966 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 126239246.33053173, "yoy_growth_pct": 96.12269180896367, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.348299828240755 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 133780657.08385538, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.973903498740785, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.65603207987427 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 147709203.10908943, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.411479752639785, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.900670270553057 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 144372163.4243686, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.259195510151324, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.5754375719172735 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 181588491.8833739, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.778049989880223, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.721424771698729 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 153239590.22499666, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.611617985452764, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2327750836663043 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "export_value_usd": 186749971.582665, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.86796591433464, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.95797586161169 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 204688499.40192002, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4859641715864083, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "030389", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34249070.720056, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.592133219067996, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5302469651816608, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "690723", "hs_description": "Ceramic tiles: flags and paving, hearth or wall tiles other than those of subheadings 6907.30 and 6907.40, of a water absorption coefficient by weight over 10%", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24060339.98560661, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.870895837852869, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22227091.630023748, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.087237928050165, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7597005808425275, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "252210", "hs_description": "Quicklime: excluding calcium oxide and hydroxide of heading no. 2825", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13815845.248666652, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.13749985982078533, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 135420878.762, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.195142561416947, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7610440660096484, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "190190", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59210897.36736707, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.54601941899122, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3903550398390778, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85082085.00615568, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.9151483228278, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1098719403043336, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21324877.14342546, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6824327491528372, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "hs_code": "030355", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, jack and horse mackerel (Trachurus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11139017.864067113, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4820626348187416, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SEN", "importer_iso3": "GIN", "distance_km": 701, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952, "importer_population": 13497.237, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 27625.388352, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1606.472060863297, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SEN-GIN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SEN-GIN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SEN-GIN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SEN-GIN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SEN-GIN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }