{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.302Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "all_history_lane_count": 37, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4019121.528440589, "attention_trade_usd": 1014168.2803183099, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 438311.1525985491, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 530784.1621519196, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3306816.208117188, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.2822386819696769, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.427731384179577, "product_concentration_hhi": 1726.0276764509929, "top1_product_share_pct": 25.23358084948989, "top3_product_share_pct": 66.07746207102855, "top_product_hs6": "844630", "top_product_trade_usd": 1014168.2803183099, "top_product_description": "Weaving machines (looms): for weaving fabrics of a width exceeding 30cm, shuttleless type", "top_attention_product_hs6": "844630", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2780.099609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983, "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.23358084948989, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983, "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 115315.99999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 33770, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.71525200319122, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 258605.984200945, "yoy_growth_pct": 665.7861539856234, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 516031.99999999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.54371960666882, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.78930474592917 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 38133, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.61034199429493, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.133381396264091 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 81867, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.68806545511762, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.846195852539694 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 99556.99999999997, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.608218207580542, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.21722575671605 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 176896, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.6831362937815, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.77809662144765 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 71200, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.750361794500726, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.546826342626908 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 232822.99999999983, "yoy_growth_pct": 226.99859550561774, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.73476742936947 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1458935, "yoy_growth_pct": 526.6283829346762, "cagr_3y_pct": 102.04090732108786 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2389354.960616437, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.77391457579924, "cagr_3y_pct": 222.55236195139946 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1701751.1545891773, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.77780059308821, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.06924858594611 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2303309.6272414704, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.349379433652636, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.440874887812363 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2451672.166516477, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.4412763929047046, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8619223477583482 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1724024.7692360021, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.679636911421635, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.43439837378596025 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1450498.574178942, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.86556063102693, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.28536216794517 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1523003.082026375, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.998592148804715, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.674378192978722 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 5033575.418583066, "yoy_growth_pct": 230.50329825241258, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.92592984796833 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 14238581.733692681, "yoy_growth_pct": 182.872124675561, "cagr_3y_pct": 114.11633882671256 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 5189578.440520814, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.552701121624054, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.479416839252565 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 5712801.543057055, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.08218892021857, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.309577366470396 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 6167579.437524394, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.960680780519058, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.337153969405357 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 31693909.06346182, "yoy_growth_pct": 413.87921930330975, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.78809594412641 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 7093042.704195004, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.62017083474191, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.480038269244482 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "844630", "hs_description": "Weaving machines (looms): for weaving fabrics of a width exceeding 30cm, shuttleless type", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28653158.514751136, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43462335.790829904, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "270750", "hs_description": "Aromatic hydrocarbon mixtures: n.e.c. in heading no. 2707, of which 65% or more by volume (including losses) distils at 250 degrees Celsius by the ISO 3405 method (equivalent to the ASTM D 86 method)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17940221.96669803, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "390931", "hs_description": "Amino-resins: n.e.c. in heading no. 3909, in primary forms, poly(methylene phenyl isocyanate) (Crude MDI, polymeric MDI)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14858730.503545728, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8400766549935168, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "320611", "hs_description": "Colouring matter: pigments and preparations based on titanium dioxide, containing 80% or more by weight of titanium dioxide calculated on the dry matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17900586.66576975, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.19250709811176, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6660425148966258, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125260244.22240931, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.5563961578502, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0808800708687947, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38947889.511603534, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.045840475051786, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2378780719465547, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "851610", "hs_description": "Heaters: electric, instantaneous or storage water and immersion heaters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13117826.848739699, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "390950", "hs_description": "Polyurethanes: in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22293576.910232827, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.67533203304552, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2398250972067555, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "390330", "hs_description": "Styrene polymers: acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) copolymers, in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11574697.811074313, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.491321656212289, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0738599718741713, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "distance_km": 2778, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "importer_population": 34915.1, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-UZB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-UZB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-UZB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-UZB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-UZB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }