{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.921Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "THA", "country_name": "Thailand" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "all_history_lane_count": 243, "current_lane_count": 95, "current_product_count": 95, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4727136462.820027, "attention_trade_usd": 861113466.2154305, "critical_trade_usd": 213230129.0266735, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 250287694.93324888, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 270785311.59984267, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 719775656.4791228, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 4727136462.820027, "critical_lane_count": 5, "high_attention_lane_count": 28, "high_volatility_lane_count": 35, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 51, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6585939908959498, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.67997732731809, "product_concentration_hhi": 5979.4635039309915, "top1_product_share_pct": 76.77031290480693, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.79015767993343, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 3629037453.944157, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310210", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 5741.94091796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233, "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 18.216386875823833, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.51076736844336, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233, "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 539692500.5028119, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 591703555.8317461, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.637164733709923, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 799385154.9850899, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.09892700600892, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 499736673.12453604, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.48486946397483, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5313510870613176 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 685904385.0833789, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.25316190922199, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.047680331658522 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1050370733.2636192, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.136611473323, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.528929867234282 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1240503728.7822976, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.101513065573904, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.40008934539283 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1200882118.4128315, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1939936535587354, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.52549752113022 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 1642361915.856991, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.76295871801718, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.0669978117296 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 2219199411.6851406, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.122434967517705, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.394613906951054 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3983100601.8645196, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.48367239517098, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.13295816774135 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3991021603.0134892, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.19886520428988863, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.44306482009309 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4406805079.055648, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.417971071071474, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.692444011789362 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6681371856.627269, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.61487147189743, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.817786075733302 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3815930059.551833, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.88702767281538, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4843011437867926 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5344234384.538266, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.05063775109985, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.640102018089933 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6927498582.759769, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.625650454294128, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.213148297784672 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 7731610574.120335, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.607537435831915, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.53864755609636 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 7820949544.485987, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.15550271847229, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.53366624912855 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 7120124836.569352, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.960864712530181, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9184072247966357 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4797951592.761516, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.61422091760284, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.704006867882013 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4597496819.727244, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.1779240402652125, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.23023101188208 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6005564946.637799, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.626842869552906, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.5166202551285455 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6966380048.678113, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.998746339063796, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.235803781946442 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5428136644.518006, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.080957303671532, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6922422303783415 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 3515292868.207545, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.23941826781911, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.34937021004531 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5414725557.238869, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.03341230000698, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.056063169647555 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 6654895371.248237, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.903650441736655, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.027854612598183 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 5472362818.481492, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.769363555672868, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.896714214266726 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "export_value_usd": 4737915079.013438, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.421035187719033, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.353237529342158 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28414116761.40513, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.9724924638121, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6183976730912932, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 797557546.1950707, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.714154046688805, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6327563977864632, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "290511", "hs_description": "Alcohols: saturated monohydric, methanol (methyl alcohol)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 197795661.97801796, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.89607020554587, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.657370373163794, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 306906000.69134647, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.763574137751522, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7733689490853538, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 356770247.16038936, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.19037000996236, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0893311695664887, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "290531", "hs_description": "Alcohols: acyclic, diols: ethylene glycol (ethanediol)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 159483336.74292356, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.22673615930428, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7298631757763673, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 875918921.4193125, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.51142243518387, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.074383939234934, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 215623233.7494073, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.01671735304758, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0900833897558586, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "390931", "hs_description": "Amino-resins: n.e.c. in heading no. 3909, in primary forms, poly(methylene phenyl isocyanate) (Crude MDI, polymeric MDI)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 132073155.58393507, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.902959493377328, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8602775809245139, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2265436120.5076604, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.73353752530915, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7614287959126446, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "distance_km": 5752, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161, "importer_population": 69950.844, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.575456674545453, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-THA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-THA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-THA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-THA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-THA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }