{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.187Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Chad: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Chad, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TCD", "country_name": "Chad" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 765414.1140000001, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 679931.983, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 353206.924, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 765414.1140000001, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4272273865042209, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.90210251939678, "product_concentration_hhi": 4056.170422103485, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.23260717400358, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.37846698238438, "top_product_hs6": "200990", "top_product_trade_usd": 376833.324, "top_product_description": "Juices: mixtures of fruits or vegetables (but not nut juice), unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3620.31298828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23139998316764832, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 58, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 696, "buyer_population_latest": 16914.986, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.541022538450768, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4827542743241162, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.998973316349397, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.294, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11779.980802, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 696, "buyer_population_2024": 16914.986 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 803091.8587271291, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 710827.0304904002, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.488701726221617, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3267006.289298107, "yoy_growth_pct": 359.60636683219496, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 6277392, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.14508464716343, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.4592483179421 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 445868, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.89724140216191, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.398615300723783 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1267735.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.32989135798027, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.061031448140447 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2034402, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.47520934958073, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.31121388118655 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1627259.1920433808, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.012898530212773, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.96315774614941 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3302935.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.97540896680619, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.601693358109145 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 4364260.999999997, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.132775203636996, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.970776226238403 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 763951.9999999997, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.49527239548688, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.279346031452295 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2978422.499999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 289.870371436949, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.388524450705499 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1417067.9999999995, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.42219664940082, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.26784007699206 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1226517, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.446849410190588, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.094321192359118 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 4723739.999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 285.13449059409686, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.618260872900194 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 4174793.107657701, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.621022586812535, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.35563064692241 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3346937, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.829871476485593, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.741260116616516 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3706936, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.756073388892595, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.762037536042154 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1771880, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.20095518239323, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.849285141144517 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 4454064.046, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.37503928031245, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.994163170867608 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1349762.2719999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.69593930262043, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.591912952465304 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1971526.602, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.06472879692403, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.622988151282591 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 2406279.764999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.051600143714168, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.555226383742085 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3400582.8489999976, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.32117547021823, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.0709316896179 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 4276284.425999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.751514251667686, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.445805009297587 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3005967.6580000003, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.706086907512898, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.699262212802838 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 1135304.239, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.23165488894957, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.627667055485773 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 3139886.5879999995, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.5678555702107, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.784230165320306 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "export_value_usd": 5835540.1230000025, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.85193953508498, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.74761519643287 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "200990", "hs_description": "Juices: mixtures of fruits or vegetables (but not nut juice), unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14778786.490814596, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5447782825963745, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39712782.94564216, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.89030388120887, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4683907350426313, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12309949.311449131, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.05249960864003, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7450516113643375, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12325352.162370166, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.966668269230782, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7885918995535749, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "TCD", "distance_km": 3612, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11779.980801999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 696.42273437294, "importer_population": 16914.986, "importer_biz_entry_days": 58, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 169.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-TCD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-TCD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-TCD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-TCD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-TCD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }